Mets Face Old Ace Scherzer and Blue Jays in Statis-Pro

Update Results:

After homers and triples in the first few innings for both teams, it came down to the speed of the Blue Jays pinch runner Myles Straw, who stole 2nd and 3rd base before scoring the game-winning run in the 8th inning of a 3-2 win over the Mets.

Pete Alonso benefitted from the in season "add 2 HR" which turned the 33 random number from a strikeout to. Deep drive, and then a 16 was easily within the Rogers Centre 11-43 home run range on deep drives.

In the bottom of the first  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Led off with a home to make ot 1-1, and Anthony Santander would have had a deep drive to potentially start the game with back to back homers except that his minus 2 home runs adjustment changed the 32 from a deep drive to a strike out. The Cubs would need to beat deGrom in the next game to be the only NL team to start 4-1 besides the Padres, but each NL team's 6th start will feature their ace against an AL team's No. 4 starter to flip the Game 5 advantage the AL teams had.

Below was the pregame:

The Mets Tylor Megill is still on the 15-day DL and hasn't pitched in several weeks, while their former ace Max Scherzer has only pitched once for the Blue Jays before returning from DL to get in a few recent starts - but his Statis-Pro card is the best on the Blue Jays so he is their ace in our game. However, they are our next pitcher match-ups because we play "what-if" format where we use the player cards unless the player goes on 60-day DL or is out for the season, or goes to another team.

Details of match-up and pictures of the Statis-Pro cards to be pasted below as we play the latest AL ace vs. NL No. 4 starter match-up using the cards in the free Statis-Pro game. 

Below is a photo of the Mets line-up with the Blue Jays pitchers sheet underneath starting with Scherzer. Then below that is the Blue Jays line-up with Mets pitchers laid under them.

If a player had one of the 200 best WAR ratings when we checked last month that is listed by their name, and if a batter has exceeded projections by a wide margin then we've made an in season HR adjustment or vice versa. The player links are listed in the same order below with links to their sheet at Baseball Reference.

Here are the links to the Mets and Blue Jays with Statis-Pro cards.
 

Line-up	NYM 11'-28 = HR, Citi Field NYM	WAR	Season Adj
DH	Juan Soto	44	minus HR
1b	Pete Alonso	29	add 2 HR
SS	Francisco Lindor	30
CF	Brandon Nimmo	186
3b	Mark Vientos
RF	Jesse Winker
LF	Starling Marte
2B	Jeff McNeil		add HR
C	Francisco Álvarez		minus HR
Bench	NYM 11'-28 = HR, Citi Field NYM	WAR	Season Adj
2b	Brett Baty	179
C	Luis Torrens
CF	Jose Siri		minus HR
RF	Tyrone Taylor
ss	Luisangel Acuña
cf	Hayden Senger
PB	Mets Rotation (Best card 1st)	WAR
2'-8	Kodai Senga	31
2'-8	Clay Holmes	165
2'-7	David Peterson	106
2'-7	Tylor Megill
2'-7	Sean Manaea
2'-7	Griffin Canning	127
PB	Mets Bull Pen (Best card 1st)	WAR
2'-9	Edwin Díaz
2'-8	Huascar Brazoban	136
2'-8	A.J. Minter
2'-8	Reed Garrett	148
2'-7	José Buttó
2'-7	Ryne Stanek
4'-7	Danny Young
4'-7	Joander Suarez
4'-7	Frankie Montas
4'-7	Blade Tidwell
2'-5	Grant Hartwig
4'-7	Dom Hamel
2'-6	Drew Smith
2'-6	Rico Garcia
Line-up	TOR Deep 11'-43 = HR, Rogers Centre	WAR	Season Adj
1b	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	99
RF	Anthony Santander		minus 2 HR
SS	Bo Bichette	197
3b	Will Wagner		minus HR
dH	Tyler Heineman	115	add 3 HR
CF	George Springer		add HR
2b	Andrés Giménez
LF	Alan Roden		minus HR
C	Alejandro Kirk
Bench	TOR Deep 11'-43 = HR, Rogers Centre	WAR	Season Adj
3b	Addison Barger	160
DH	Davis Schneider
RF	Nathan Lukes
SS	Ernie Clement	75
2B	Adam Frazier
CF	Myles Straw
PB	Blue Jays Rotation (best card 1st)	WAR
2'-8	Max Scherzer
2'-7	Kevin Gausman
2'-7	Chris Bassitt	143
2'-7	José Berríos	118
2'-7	Alek Manoah
4'-7	Eric Lauer
PB	Blue Jays Relievers (best card 1st)	WAR
2'-7	Jeff Hoffman
2'-7	Yimi García
2'-7	Chad Green
4'-7	Nick Sandlin
4'-7	Brendon Little
4'-7	Adam Kloffenstein
4'-7	Rafael Sanchez
2'-6	Dillon Tate
2'-6	Mason Fluharty
2'-6	Bowden Francis
2'-6	Hayden Juenger
2'-5	Erik Swanson
2'-5	Jacob Barnes
2'-5	Devereaux Harrison

Harper's 2-run 9th Inning Hit Caps Phillies 7-5 Win Over Tampa

 Phillies Win. Bryce Harper's 2-run single in the 9th gave the Phillies' insurance with a 7-3 lead over Tampa and they needed it, as the Rays put together four 9th inning singles including two doubles and chasing all three PB 2-8 relievers. That left a PB 4-7 (average) reliever Tanner Banks to close out the game.

The Phillies exploded in the first with single by Kyle Schwarber, RBI-double by Trea Turner, and 2-run homer by Max Kepler to make it 3-0. However, after our last Statis-Pro game yielded only three hits there were 24 combined hits in this 7-5 Phillies wins. The Rays No. 9 hitter Matt Thaiss was the only player on either team with three hits in the game, including an RBI single in the 5th inning to get the Rays on the Board, and then an RBI-double in the 9th to chase the last PB 2-8 reliever.

0	Pos	Phil Deep 11'-52 = HR, Citizens Bank Park PHI	WAR
1	1b	Bryce Harper	110
2	DH	Kyle Schwarber	50
3	SS	Trea Turner	74
4	1b	Alec Bohm
5	LF	Max Kepler
6	RF	Nick Castellanos
7	CF	Brandon Marsh
8	C	J.T. Realmuto
9	3b	Edmundo Sosa
15	2b	Bryson Stott
15	OF	CalStevenson
15	OF	WestonWilson
15	LF	Johan Rojas
15	C	Rafael Marchán
20	ut	New Player based OPS
20	ut	New Player based OPS
0	Pos	TBR Deep 11'-48 = HR, George M. Steinbrenner Field TBR	WAR
1	ss	Brandon Lowe
2	1b	Jonathan Aranda	37
3	RF	Josh Lowe	187
4	dH	Yandy Díaz
5	3b	Junior Caminero
6	LF	Jake Mangum
7	CF	Jonny DeLuca
8	2b	José Caballero	144
9	C	Matt Thaiss	196
15	DH	Danny Jansen	150
15	DH	Christopher Morel
15	3b	Curtis Mead
15	lf	Kameron Misner	198
15	SS	Taylor Walls	109
15	C	Ben Rortvedt
15	LF	Travis Jankowski
15	OF	ChandlerSimpson
20	ut	New Player based OPS
20	ut	New Player based OPS
0	PB	Philadelphia Phillies / NL East	WAR
1	2'-9	Zack Wheeler	38
2	2'-8	Ranger Suárez	113
3	2'-8	Cristopher Sánchez	49
4	4'-7	Jesús Luzardo	200
5	2'-6	Aaron Nola
6	4'-7	Kyle Tyler
10	2'-8	José Alvarado
11	2'-8	Orion Kerkering
12	2'-8	Matt Strahm
13	4'-7	Jordan Romano
14	4'-7	Tanner Banks
15	2'-6	José Ruiz
16	2'-6	Carlos Hernández
17	2'-5	Devin Sweet
18	2'-5	Jose Cuas
19	2'-5	Taijuan Walker
20	2'-5	Andrew Walling
21	2'-5	Gabe Mosser
22	2'-5	Mick Abel
23	2'-4	Braeden Fausnaught
24
0	PB	Tampa Bay Rays / AL East
1	2'-7	Ryan Pepiot	191
2	2'-7	Zack Littell
3	2'-7	Taj Bradley
4	2'-7	Joe Rock
5	2'-7	Shane Baz
6	4'-7	Ian Seymour
10	2'-9	Drew Rasmussen	64
11	2'-9	Pete Fairbanks
12	2'-7	Kevin Kelly
13	2'-7	Manuel Rodríguez
14	2'-7	Garrett Cleavinger
15	2'-7	Eric Orze
16	2'-7	Edwin Uceta
17	4'-7	Logan Workman
18	4'-7	Cole Wilcox
19	2'-6	Jonathan Hernández
20	2'-6	Duncan Davitt
21	2'-6	Trevor Martin
22	2'-5	Alfredo Zarraga
23	2'-5	Joey Krehbiel
24	2'-5	Keyshawn Askew
25	2'-5	Yoniel Curet
	PB	Key to Pitchers PB
	2'-9	Top 5% of all pitchers, keeps action on card 83% of time
	2'-8	Top 15%, on card 72%
	2'-7	Top 35%, on card 58%
	4'-7	Middle 30%, on card 50%
	2'-6	Bottom 35%, on card 42%
	2'-5	Bottom 15%, on card 28%
	2'-4	Bottom 5% or minor leaguer, on card 17%

3 Hits Total in Padres 2-0 Win in top pitching match-up

 

Padres at Mariners starts with two pitchers who rank 86th and 101st best of all MLB players based on WAR facing off.  Bryan Woo gave up only 1 run, and that in the 5th inning when the Mariners committed two of their three errors, the first during a throw to 2nd on a basestealing attempt and then the third baseman throwing away a grounder. 

That one run was all that starter Nick Pivetta and closer Jeremiah Estrada needed for the shutout win, but  Jackson Merrill did add a homer later to make the final 2-0 Padres. This was a big win because this set of games we are pitching the AL team's ace against the NL team's 4th pitcher, and this is the first time the NL team has won that match-up with the AL ace winning the first five matchups. The next round we will reverse to have the NL ace.

Here are the two rosters in the game:

Order	Pos	SDP - Deep 11'-24 = HR, PETCO Park SDP	WAR
1	CF	Fernando Tatis Jr.	27
2	SS	Jackson Merrill	175
3	3b	Manny Machado	36
4	DH	Luis Arraez
5	1b	Jake Cronenworth
6	2b	Xander Bogaerts
7	RF	Gavin Sheets
8	LF	Brandon Lockridge
9	C	Elias Díaz
15	1b	Yuli Gurriel
15	ss	Jose Iglesias
15	RF	Jason Heyward
15	C	Martín Maldonado
20	ut	New Player based OPS
20	ut	New Player based OPS
	SS	OrlandoArcia
	3b	TylerWade
	C	MartinMaldonado
	SS	MasonMcCoy
Order	Pos	Sea Deep 11'-14 = HR, T-Mobile Park SEA	WAR
1	CF	Julio Rodríguez	13
2	1B	Luke Raley
3	LF	Randy Arozarena	92
4	C	Cal Raleigh	4
5	3b	Jorge Polanco
6	2b	Dylan Moore	174
7	RF	Victor Robles
8	SS	J.P. Crawford	51
9	DH	Rowdy Tellez
15	DH	Mitch Garver
15	1b	Donovan Solano
15	3b	Miles Mastrobuoni
15	SS	Ryan Bliss
20	ut	New Player based OPS
20	ut	New Player based OPS
	SS	LeoRivas
	C	BenRortvedt
Rotation	PB	San Diego Padres / NL West	WAR
1	2'-8	Michael King	152
2	2'-8	Dylan Cease
3	2'-7	Joe Musgrove
4	2'-7	Nick Pivetta	101
5	2'-7	Yu Darvish
6	4'-7	Matt Waldron
Bullpen	PB	Relievers starting with closer	WAR
10	2'-8	Jeremiah Estrada
11	2'-8	Jason Adam
12	2'-8	Robert Suarez	141
13	2'-7	Adrian Morejon
14	2'-7	Yuki Matsui
15	4'-7	Randy Vásquez
16	4'-7	Kyle Hart
17	2'-6	Wandy Peralta
18	2'-6	Bradgley Rodriguez
19	2'-6	Logan Gillaspie
20	2'-6	Ron Marinaccio
21	2'-6	Tom Cosgrove
22	2'-6	Henry Baez
23	2'-6	Jay Groome
24
25
Rotation	PB	Seattle Mariners / AL West	WAR
1	2'-8	George Kirby
2	2'-8	Bryan Woo	86
3	2'-8	Logan Gilbert
4	2'-8	Luis Castillo
5	2'-7	Bryce Miller
6	2'-7	Luis Castillo
Bullpen	PB	Relievers starting with closer	WAR
10	2'-9	Andrés Muñoz	122
11	2'-9	Gregory Santos
12	2'-8	Matt Brash
13	2'-7	Gabe Speier
14	4'-7	Collin Snider
15	4'-7	Jhonathan Díaz
16	4'-7	Emerson Hancock
17	4'-7	Michael Morales
18	4'-7	Brandyn Garcia
19	2'-6	Trent Thornton
20	2'-6	Tayler Saucedo
21	2'-6	Zach Pop
22	2'-6	Cody Bolton
23	2'-6	Carlos Vargas
24	2'-6	Casey Lawrence
25	2'-5	Troy Taylor
	PB	Key to Pitchers PB
	2'-9	Top 5% of all pitchers, keeps action on card 83% of time
	2'-8	Top 15%, on card 72%
	2'-7	Top 35%, on card 58%
	4'-7	Middle 30%, on card 50%
	2'-6	Bottom 35%, on card 42%
	2'-5	Bottom 15%, on card 28%
	2'-4	Bottom 5% or minor leaguer, on card 17%

Aaron Judge 2025 Statis-Pro Debut, Yanks Beat Pirates 4-2

 Aaron Judge debuts in Yankee Stadium in our (free) Statis-Pro Baseball interleague baseball game against the Pittsburgh Pirates. If you use our optional in season adjustments, Judge's "add 3 HR" means his Home Run Range is now an incredible 22-34, so if the pitcher leaves it on his card then 11 of 64 random numbers are a home run. Since the next three numbers are pushed up to a 35-37 on a game in Yankee Stadium goes out of the park on an subsequent 11-46 while 47-88 is a deep drive with all runners advancing. The 88/NA means against a lefty pitcher an 88 is changed from an out to single and runners advance two bases. 

Because we are letting the AL team be the home team using their better pitcher in the first game, so Mitch Keller will be the first to face Judge in the opener as he has to pitch against the Yankees Max Fried. However, in the second game the Pirates host with Cy Young candidate Paul Skenes against the Yankees Luis Gil.

We believe in batting the superstar first to maximize late appearances so here is the Yankees lineup starting with Judge:

RF	Aaron Judge
DH	Ben Rice
1b	Paul Goldschmidt
CF	Cody Bellinger
CF	Jazz Chisholm Jr.
C	Austin Wells
SS	Anthony Volpe
2b	Pablo Reyes
3b	Oswald Peraza

Then here are the Pirates:

SS	Oneil Cruz
CF	Jack Suwinski
LF	Bryan Reynolds
2b	Nick Gonzales
C	Heliot Ramos
DH	Andrew McCutchen
1b	Endy Rodríguez
RF	Tommy Pham
3b	Jared Triolo

Bregman, Chapman lead Red Sox to 10 inning win over Devers Giants

 Here is the set up with our 1977 quarter board and cards. The dime tracks the endurance left for the home pitcher, the penny for the visitor. Results to follow. After 3 Giants clutch defensive plays in the latter innings, Alex Bregman singled in speedy pinch runner Trevor Story's for a 4-3 Red Sox win in 10 innings.

Aroldis Chapman was untouchable in the 9th and 10th to record the win. We keep moat relievers to one inning or finishing one and pitching the next inning, but of a closer comes in for the 9th we let them pitch to the 10th if they still have endurance. 

Devers vs. Better Fielding Red Sox in Statis-Pro Today

Finally getting the Statis-Pro baseball game on the desk after more than a week with no games due to a killer work schedule, and you can always follow what I’m doing at www.wisconsinffc.com when I’m too busy to play Statis-Pro or the Value Add Basketball game. 

Since we are in our one interleague round our July 4 opener features the one big trade of the year. The Giants obviously add a great clean hitter in Rafael Devers, but the silver lining for the Red Sox losing Devers is in the field. With him out of the line-up, we can move a poor fielding second baseman card of Kristian Campbell to our DH spot, and move a fast and better fielder Romy Gonzalez into the line-up and to play second base. T

he new bat of Abraham Toro at 1st base and former Astro Alex Bregman – who is a major fielding upgrade for Devers at 3rd base and gets an extra HR number on his card as an in season involvement so we play now as a 26-28 homer range while Rob Refsnyder adding a homer to be 27-31 at least gives the Red Sox some potential pop in the line-up despite the big blow of losing Devers card. So weaker line-up but much stronger fielding at least. Here are the two sets of batter cards for this game which you can play for free at https://www.pudnersports.com/2022/11/status-pro-baseball-master-instructions.html.