Wednesday, July 6, 2016

NBA Value Tracker: Team-by-team list of the 148 NBA Players worth 4 additional wins or more

The additional wins a team can expect from drafting or trading for an impact player can be measured by referring to this chart. We follow only the 148 players who played at a level worth at least four additional wins to an NBA team over what a replacement player would have done, based on:


  1. Value Added ratings for players in the NBA last year, as listed here on ESPN.
  2. Value Add Basketball ratings minus 2 for players who played college basketball last year. The ratings at www.valueaddbasketball.com actually measure how many points a college player impacts his team's scores each 100 trips down the court, but the projection to their value at the next level is roughly projected in this way.
  3. The assumption that international picks were taken in roughly the correct position in the draft relative to the Value Add ratings of the college players selected near them in the draft.


This table does not rate players who were injured, or adjust for age (a 20 year old will likely improve the next year, while a 30 year old will likely decline).

The Boston Celtics, Golden State Warriors and Chicago Bulls are the three teams who have improved by at least 15 games based on these analytics, but of course the Warriors cannot really improve that much with Kevin Durant since they were already 73-9. Click here for on John Pudner's stories on Breitbart Sports for team breakdowns and other updates.

Player20162017Extra Wins
Paul MillsapATLATL13.0
DeAndre BembrySt. Joseph'sATL5.5
Taurean PrinceBaylorATL4.0
Brook LopezBKNBKN13.7
Isaiah ThomasBOSBOS13.9
Al HorfordATLBOS11.6
Jae CrowderBOSBOS6.1
Jared SullingerBOSBOS5.9
Ben BentilProvidenceBOS5.7
Amir JohnsonBOSBOS4.1
Ante ZizicCroatiaBOS4.0
Guerschon YabuseleFranceBOS4.0
Jaylen BrownCaliforniaBOS4.0
Kelly OlynykBOSBOS4.0
Isaiah WhiteheadSeton HallBRK4.3
Kemba WalkerCHACHA14.2
Marvin WilliamsCHACHA6.3
Nicolas BatumCHACHA6.3
Cody ZellerCHACHA4.9
Al JeffersonCHACHA4.2
Jimmy ButlerCHICHI13.3
Dwyane WadeMIACHI11.1
Robin LopezNYCHI7.8
Rajon RondoSACCHI7.5
Denzel ValentineMichigan St.CHI7.2
Taj GibsonCHICHI4.0
LeBron JamesCLECLE23.1
Kevin LoveCLECLE9.1
Kyrie IrvingCLECLE7.4
Kahlil FelderOaklandCLE7.1
Tristan ThompsonCLECLE6.0
Dirk NowitzkiDALDAL8.9
Zaza PachuliaDALDAL5.6
Chandler ParsonsDALDAL5.2
AJ HammonsPurdueDAL4.2
Nikola JokicDENDEN9.5
Kenneth FariedDENDEN8.1
Danilo GallinariDENDEN7.8
Will BartonDENDEN6.5
Jamal MurrayKentuckyDEN5.7
Juan HernangomezSpainDEN4.0
Andre DrummondDETDET14.2
Reggie JacksonDETDET10.4
Tobias HarrisDETDET7.2
Michael GbinijeSyracuseDET6.9
Aron BaynesDETDET4.4
Stephen CurryGSGS27.6
Draymond GreenGSGS10.9
Klay ThompsonGSGS10.8
Kevin DurantOKCGSW22.8
Patrick McCawUNLVGSW5.9
James HardenHOUHOU23.1
Dwight HowardHOUHOU9.5
Ryan AndersonNOHOU5.8
Clint CapelaHOUHOU5.0
Paul GeorgeINDIND14.7
Jeff TeagueATLIND7.8
Thaddeus YoungBKNIND7.3
Georges NiangIowa St.IND7.0
Monta EllisINDIND4.5
Jordan HillINDIND4.4
Chris PaulLACLAC18.4
DeAndre JordanLACLAC13.0
Brice JohnsonNorth CarolinaLAC7.9
JJ RedickLACLAC7.4
Blake GriffinLACLAC6.2
Cole AldrichLACLAC4.3
Louis WilliamsLALLAL6.9
Luol DengMIALAL5.4
Brandon IngramDukeLAL4.6
Jordan ClarksonLALLAL4.2
Mike ConleyMEMMEM7.4
Zach RandolphMEMMEM6.9
Marc GasolMEMMEM6.4
Wade BaldwinVanderbiltMEM4.0
Hassan WhitesideMIAMIA16.0
Chris BoshMIAMIA7.8
Goran DragicMIAMIA5.4
Greg MonroeMILMIL13.0
Giannis AntetokounmpoMILMIL11.7
Khris MiddletonMILMIL9.0
Malcolm BrogdonVirginiaMIL6.9
Thon MakerAustraliaMIL6.0
Jabari ParkerMILMIL4.0
Karl-Anthony TownsMINMIN15.7
Andrew WigginsMINMIN8.6
Ricky RubioMINMIN7.7
Gorgui DiengMINMIN7.3
Kris DunnProvidenceMIN4.8
Shabazz MuhammadMINMIN4.0
Anthony DavisNONO14.6
Buddy HieldOklahomaNO8.6
Jrue HolidayNONO8.0
Carmelo AnthonyNYNY12.4
Kristaps PorzingisNYNY6.4
Derrick WilliamsNYNY4.1
Russell WestbrookOKCOKC22.8
Enes KanterOKCOKC11.6
Victor OladipoORLOKC7.4
Steven AdamsOKCOKC4.9
Domantas SabonisGonzagaOKC4.0
Nikola VucevicORLORL10.7
Evan FournierORLORL5.4
Aaron GordonORLORL5.2
Ben SimmonsLSUPHI8.1
Jahlil OkaforPHIPHI5.2
Nerlens NoelPHIPHI4.7
Ish SmithPHIPHI4.4
Furkan KorkmazTurkeyPHI4.0
Timothe LuwawuFrancePHI4.0
Tyler UlisKentuckyPHX7.3
Dragan BenderCroatiaPHX7.0
Eric BledsoePHXPHX4.8
Marquese ChrissWashingtonPHX4.0
Mirza TeletovicPHXPHX4.0
Damian LillardPORPOR15.0
C.J. McCollumPORPOR10.1
Mason PlumleePORPOR6.9
Ed DavisPORPOR6.8
Kobe BryantLALRet4.1
Kawhi LeonardSASA18.5
LaMarcus AldridgeSASA12.3
Tony ParkerSASA5.1
Tim DuncanSASA4.9
Boban MarjanovicSASA4.3
David WestSASA4.3
Manu GinobiliSASA4.2
DeMarcus CousinsSACSAC14.6
Rudy GaySACSAC5.9
Darren CollisonSACSAC5.4
Georgios PapagiannisGreeceSAC4.0
Pau GasolCHISAS12.7
Kyle LowryTORTOR15.9
DeMar DeRozanTORTOR15.5
Jonas ValanciunasTORTOR9.3
Pascal SiakamNew Mexico St.TOR7.0
Jakob PoeltlUtahTOR6.8
Gordon HaywardUTAHUTAH11.3
Derrick FavorsUTAHUTAH10.1
Rudy GobertUTAHUTAH6.6
Joel BolomboyWeber St.UTAH5.2
Rodney HoodUTAHUTAH4.6
Ian MahinmiINDWAS5.5
John WallWSHWSH12.2
Marcin GortatWSHWSH9.5
Otto Porter Jr.WSHWSH4.5
Bradley BealWSHWSH4.3
Ramon SessionsWSHWSH4.1

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