Showing posts with label Kent State basketball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kent State basketball. Show all posts

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Top 10 Programs We Missed, and Now Adding to Value Add Basketball Game

We did one final run through of programs with no teams in the Value Add Basketball Game for anyone we might have missed over time, and after searching all teams from those schools who made a Sweet 16 and/or were ranked in the top 25 (a few dozen) we picked this 10 to add to the game, and you can now see a full list of the ranking for all teams in the game here

We rank the 10 new teams here:

1. Long Beach State – 1972

Jerry Tarkanian built an instant powerhouse at Long Beach State, taking the program to four straight Sweet 16s in its first four D-I seasons. In 1972, the school’s third season at the top level, Tark put five future NBA players on the court and produced the first of two straight Top-5 AP finishes. Their Elite Eight loss came only because regional rules forced them into an early showdown with Bill Walton and the UCLA dynasty—otherwise they would likely have faced the Bruins in the Final Four or national title game. The combination of NBA talent, sustained excellence, and national respect makes this the strongest résumé of these ten teams.
Best Player: Ed Ratleff – 21.4 Pts, 7.6 Reb, 6.5 Ast


2. Kent State – 2002

Kent State’s run to the Elite Eight remains one of the greatest mid-major tournament pushes ever. They finished the season #12 AP and then defeated three ranked, power-conference teams: #20 Oklahoma State, #8 Alabama, and #9 Pitt. Antonio Gates—who would become an NFL Hall-of-Fame caliber tight end—played like a star forward before switching sports. The Value Add Basketball Game places a higher emphasis on elite wins over major opponents, and few teams on this list can match Kent State’s three-game barrage.
Best Player: Antonio Gates – 16.0 Pts, 8.1 Reb, 2.7 Ast


3. St. Louis – 1952

St. Louis was one of the stingiest defensive teams in college basketball history, allowing under 50 points per game while finishing #5 in the AP Poll. Their most remarkable week included three straight wins over ranked teams—#14 Villanova, #1 Kentucky, and #13 LaSalle—before an Elite Eight exit. They hold the distinction of beating the highest-ranked opponent (#1 Kentucky) of any team on this list, giving them one of the premier résumés.
Best Player: Bob Koch – 11.1 Pts, 4.3 Reb


4. Idaho – 1982

Idaho’s 1982 squad peaked at #8 AP, reached the Sweet 16, and dominated multiple ranked opponents. They destroyed #16 Iowa State by 22 points, then beat #16 Iowa in the NCAA Tournament. Few teams combined a top-10 national ranking with such decisive wins over tournament teams.
Best Player: Gordie Herbert – 12.6 Pts, 6.5 Reb, 3.6 Ast


5. Canisius – 1957

Canisius reached the Sweet 16 in three straight years (1955–57), something the Value Add Basketball Game places a higher emphasis on to recognize consistency and demonstrate that success was no fluke. The 1957 team climbed to #10 AP, beat #17 Alabama, upset #7 West Virginia in the NCAA Tournament, and lost only to #1 North Carolina before winning the consolation game. They don’t have the NBA talent of some others, but they have one of the most consistent résumés.
Best Player: Hank Nowak – 20.1 Pts, 10.7 Reb


6. Iona – 1980

Jim Valvano’s Iona team opened the season by crushing #14 Texas A&M by 26 points, then closed with 17 straight wins before a narrow Sweet 16 loss to Georgetown. They finished #19 AP, and Jeff Ruland provided NBA-level dominance in the paint. This was the high point of Valvano’s pre-NC State career, showcasing the coaching brilliance that would soon lead to the 1983 national championship.
Best Player: Jeff Ruland – 20.1 Pts, 12.0 Reb, 1.0 Ast


7. Fordham – 1971

A fast-paced, high-scoring team that finished #9 AP and reached the Sweet 16, Fordham remains one of the more explosive squads in Value Add Basketball Game history. They scored 100 points six different times, including a 100–90 win over #6 South Carolina in the consolation round. Two players—Charlie Yelverton and Ken Charles—went on to the NBA, making this one of the most talented Fordham teams ever assembled.
Best Player: Charlie Yelverton – 23.3 Pts, 12.0 Reb, 1.8 Ast


8. Florida Gulf Coast – 2013

The Dunk City team remains a national phenomenon. As a #15 seed, FGCU stunned both Georgetown and San Diego State by double digits before falling in the Sweet 16. Their highlight-reel style and charisma made them one of the most memorable Cinderella runs ever. And their success had instant coaching ramifications—Andy Enfield was hired by USC immediately after the tournament, where he rebuilt the program into a Pac-12 contender. The Value Add Basketball Game places a higher emphasis on historic upsets, which keeps FGCU in the upper tier despite a lack of ranking or multiple marquee regular-season wins.
Best Player: Bernard Thompson – 14.3 Pts, 4.4 Reb, 1.7 Ast


9. Ball State – 1990

Ball State’s Sweet 16 run included two down-to-the-wire tournament wins over ranked opponents—#22 Oregon State (54–53) and #16 Louisville (62–60)—before nearly shocking national champion UNLV in a 67–69 thriller. The Cardinals also played Memphis to a nail-biter earlier in the season. They were one of the toughest outs in the 1990 tournament, though without major regular-season wins or an AP ranking, their résumé slots just below FGCU.
Best Player: Paris McCurdy – 11.8 Pts, 8.3 Reb, 0.9 Ast


10. UAB – 1982 

UAB’s Elite Eight run in just its third season of existence remains one of the best coaching achievements ever. They shocked National Player of the Year Ralph Sampson and Virginia, 68–66, behind Oliver Robinson—Bartow’s first recruit. But the full story becomes far richer when viewed through Gene Bartow’s astonishing decade:

• Memphis State:
Bartow took a struggling program from an 0–3 start to its first Final Four, upsetting three top-10 teams and taking Memphis into the AP Top 10 for the first time in school history.

• UCLA:
He then accepted what many consider the toughest job in sports—replacing John Wooden. Bartow still delivered, taking the Bruins back to the 1976 Final Four, losing only to Bob Knight’s undefeated Indiana team.

• Building UAB from scratch:
Bartow created the UAB program from the ground up, making the Sweet 16 in year two and the Elite Eight in year three, coming within one win of becoming the first coach ever to take three schools to the Final Four.

Only two coaches have ever accomplished that feat—Rick Pitino and John Calipari—and both took far longer (18 years and 15 years respectively). Bartow nearly beat both to it within a single decade.

The Value Add Basketball Game places a higher emphasis on historically significant teams, and while the 1982 roster is difficult to card accurately, the modern UAB team now included in the game reflects the continuing relevance of the program Bartow built.
Best Player: Oliver Robinson – 21.1 Pts, 3.7 Reb, 2.8 Ast

Thursday, November 23, 2023

Mid American Team and Return of Value Add Basketball Rankings

All-Mid American Conf       Team           Value AdjO  AdjD    Notes                                   
Xavier CastanedaAkron9.94121.9103.422-11 (PG), Poss 29.4%
JT ShumateToledo8.13134.9110.627-8, Poss 21.1%
Dwight WilsonOhio7.92125.5107.419-14, Poss 27.2%
Cli'ron HornbeakKent St.7.50125.996.513-seed, 28-7, Poss 15.3%
RayJ DennisToledo6.97119.2110.627-8 (PG), Poss 28.7%
2nd T-Mid American ConfTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Enrique FreemanAkron6.90118103.422-11, Poss 26.7%
Jaylin HunterOhio6.48115.9107.419-14 (PG), Poss 23.3%
Demarius JacobsBall St.5.78123.7107.820-12, Poss 17.5%
Harvin IbarguenNo Illinois5.26125.3107.113-19, Poss 12.4%
Mekhi LairyMiami OH5.19114.7111.912-20 (PG), Poss 24.7%
HM-Mid American ConfTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Dante MaddoxToledo4.91122.2110.627-8, Poss 16.5%
AJ BrownOhio4.87116107.419-14, Poss 21.7%
Setric MillnerToledo4.63118.2110.627-8, Poss 21.4%

Above is a very late All-Mid American team from the 2022-23 season, and we will be updating these and the top 300 players at www.valueaddbasketball.com to go along with the rankings going back to the 2001-02 season. While this system received rave reviews from Sports Illustrated, ESPN, Fox Sports and many others, last season we skipped because we lost the ability to rank all 4000 players who take the court for D1 action.

Note below that Xavier Castaneda not only ranks as All-Mid-American but as an All-American, though he is now finished his career.

The MAC seems like among the most stable of conferences as the back-up choice in the Big Ten conference. Kent State seems the best prospect to give the conference a chance to win a game in March Madness in the past decade of Bobby Hurley and Nate Oates did it with Buffalo and then Ohio repeated. After playing Indiana reasonably well in last year's tournament, Kent State already made great rallies in a double overtime loss to James Madison and a narrow defensive loss to Missouri State.

With 6-foot-9 Cli'Ron Hornbeak back as one of the best shot blockers and rebounders in the game who also hit 72% of his shots, but he is foul prone so a key may be just keeping him on the court. Against Missouri State he did block four shots, grab seven rebounds and hit 5 of 8 from the floor - probably the kind of night they would need from him to win the conference tournament and possibly pull and upset in the NCAA.

Team                          2023     2024     2025     Seed23   Rnk24
AkronMACMACMAC 117
Ball St.MACMACMAC 242
Bowling GreenMACMACMAC 244
BuffaloMACMACMAC 332
Central MichiganMACMACMAC 304
Eastern MichiganMACMACMAC 306
Kent St.MACMACMAC1399
Miami OHMACMACMAC 248
Northern IllinoisMACMACMAC 182
OhioMACMACMAC 115
ToledoMACMACMAC 112
Western MichiganMACMACMAC 299

Better late than never - this is one of 32 lists of All-Conference teams based on the "resurrected" Value Add Basketball rankings at www.valueaddbasketball.com. The other 31 releases of Conference teams will all include this same explanation for the rest of the blog, including the 10 returning All-Americans and top 60 players from last season listed further down.

This paragraph is of interest to stat nerds only. The offensive ratings were easier to recreate, since the basis was to pull hundreds of players ranked as the most efficient last season (AdjO at www.kenpom.com) and adjusting their figures for their percent of possessions. A player who can produce about 1.2 points per time he has the ball who also gets the ball 25% of the time against tough competition and as part of a strong defense can be All-American level, but a player who doesn't get the ball nearly as often but produces even more at 1.3 points per possession can still be All-Conference even if fans feel other players handling and shooting the ball more are better due to higher points scored per game.

The new simplified system weighs their ability to produce points against the Adjusted Defense (AdjD) - that is how many points per 100 trips would their team allow against an average D1 team. This accounts both for defense and for level of competition. We also note if a player is a Point Guard, the most important position on the court.

The resulting "Value" listed in the third column is the Value Add of points the player would improve an average team over if he could not play if a decent replacement took his place. Zach Edey was by far the most valuable player in the country last year at 13.17 meaning typically he would turn a 65-70 loss for a team into a 72-64 win - a 13 point swing. The notes off to the first indicated the team's record, their seed if they made the tournament, and then if they went to the NBA in the 2023 draft or are projected to go in the 2024 or 2025 draft.

1st and 2nd Team Returning All-Americans; and Top 60 Players from Last Season
 
The table below is the list of the 30 most valuable players in college basketball for the 2022-23 season according to our simplified www.valueaddbasketball.com rankings. Obviously most of these top players finished their eligibility or went pro so are no longer playing. However, if we made this our All-American teams of returning players including transfers at their new school the headline would be from Creighton.

1st Team Returning All-Americans - Value Add Basketball calculates that Creighton now has two of the three most valuable players in 2022-23 in returning Ryan Kalkbrenner and Utah State transfer Steven Ashworth. Ironically, Thursday it was Colorado State that handed Creighton its first loss - a team that Ashworth had dominated four of seven times in conference games at Utah State. The other 1st Team All-Americans based on last year's Value Add would be J'Wan Roberts returning for Houston, and then Tylor Perry who transferred from North Texas to Kansas State.

Most Valuable Player for 2nd Year. However, the far and away Most Valuable Player in the Country could challenge Anthony DavisJon Scheyer and Zion Williamson for as the most Valuable college player of the century in the All-Time Value Add Basketball Rankings - Zach Edey who was almost 2 points better than anyone in the country last year at Purdue and has them at No. 1 this season.

2nd Team Returning All-Americans - The 6th most valuable returning player according to Value Add is Marquette Point Guard Tyler Kolek. He would be joined on a second team All-American squad of returning players by Tennessee's Santiago Vescovi, Texas transfer from Oral Roberts Max Abmas, Duke's Ryan Young, Arizona's Azuolas Tubelis and finally Cam Spencer, who transferred from Rutgers to UConn.

In all, 18 of the top 30 players finished their college careers, leaving those 10 returning All-Americans and then two other players - JaKobe Coles of TCU and USC's Boogie Ellis.
 
All-American 1st Team    Team               Value    AdjO  AdjDNotes                                                
Zach EdeyPurdue13.17125.994.51-seed, 29-6, nba 58 in 2024
Adama Sanogo (gone)Connecticut11.37122.690.94-seed, 31-8, Poss 26.4%
Marcus Sasser (gone)Houston11.25123.490.41-seed, 33-4, nba 25 in 2023
Ryan KalkbrennerCreighton10.80133.493.26-seed, 24-13, Poss 19.4%
Steven Ashworth (Creigh)Utah St.10.72127.798.910-seed, 26-9 (PG), Poss 21.6%
All-American 2nd TeamTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Tylor Perry (K-State)North Texas10.37124.394.131-7, Poss 24.4%
Brandon Miller (gone)Alabama10.23117.088.21-seed, 31-6, nba 2 in 2023
Xavier Castaneda (gone)Akron9.94121.9103.422-11 (PG), Poss 29.4%
J'Wan RobertsHouston9.90127.990.41-seed, 33-4, Poss 18.4%
Jordan Hawkins (gone)Connecticut9.88121.290.94-seed, 31-8, nba 14 in 2023
All-American 3rd TeamTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Jaime Jaquez (gone)UCLA9.80113.1882-seed, 31-6, nba 18 in 2023
Jalen Pickett (gone)Penn St.9.66118.7101.110-seed, 23-14 (PG), nba 32 in 2023
Jordan Walker (gone)UAB9.64114.797.929-10 (PG), Poss 30.6%
Tyler KolekMarquette9.6311896.72-seed, 29-7 (PG), Poss 24.1%
Santiago VescoviTennessee9.52114.287.54-seed, 25-11 (PG), Poss 18.8%
All-American 4th TeamTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Max Abmas (Texas)Oral Roberts9.47120.2102.212-seed, 30-5 (PG), Poss 27.6%
Trayce Jackson-Davis (g)Indiana9.45118.597.24-seed, 23-12, nba 57 in 2023
Ryan YoungDuke9.37128.793.95-seed, 27-9, Poss 18.3%
Kendric Davis (grad)Memphis9.24111.196.18-seed, 26-9 (PG), Poss 31.6%
Drew Timme (grad)Gonzaga9.21119.699.33-seed, 31-6, Poss 30.6%
All-American 5th TeamTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Markquis Nowell (gone)Kansas St.8.92111953-seed, 26-10 (PG), Poss 27.6%
Souley Boum (gone)Xavier8.87119.298.63-seed, 27-10 (PG), Poss 21.2%
Oscar Tshiebwe (gone)Kentucky8.83122.698.86-seed, 22-12, Poss 24.5%
Terence Lewis (gone)Louisiana8.74131.2102.913-seed, 26-8, Poss 20.3%
Darius McGhee (gone)Liberty8.68114.597.527-9, Poss 33.4%
All-American 6th TeamTeamValueAdjOAdjDNotes
Azuolas TubelisArizona8.68116.196.32-seed, 28-7, Poss 28.7%
Cam Spencer (UConn)Rutgers8.66119.490.819-15, Poss 19.8%
Sir'Jabari Rice (gone)Texas8.66116.392.12-seed, 29-9, Poss 23.4%
JaKobe ColesTCU8.64118.494.36-seed, 22-13, Poss 23.4%
Boogie EllisUSC8.56113.397.510-seed, 22-11 (PG), Poss 25.7%