Saturday, December 23, 2017

Value Add Team Point Adjustments Based on Players Departing or Returning (injuries, semester transfers, etc.)

The following point differences lists how much better or worse a team should be this year than their www.kenpom.com rating based on players who missed time but are back, or in the case of negatives players who have been part of the team but are likely gone for the rest of the season.

Players like Michael Porter Jr. of Missouri are not factored because he may be out for the year but having only played a few minutes before his injury he has yet to impact Missouri's current www.kenpom.com rating. However, if he were to return a click on the overall Value Add Database shows based on his projections for this year he would be worth an additional 9.74 points per game to Missouri - the eight best total in the country.

The individual players that make up this rating are listed in this post, while the overall team rankings of the 68 teams projected to make the tournament as of December 22 and the 12 teams that just missed are listed in this post. If you see a new returning player or season ending injury or transfer, then check that post to see if they were already factor into these numbers, and if not then they should be factored the same way.

TeamChange
Alabama1.40
Arizona4.61
Baylor1.10
Boston College-2.35
Boston University1.33
Bucknell1.37
Buffalo2.22
Charleston Southern1.88
Clemson3.15
College of Charleston4.68
Columbia1.27
Dartmouth2.07
Evansville3.89
Florida1.64
Florida Gulf Coast1.73
Florida St.2.18
Fordham1.17
Georgia1.42
Georgia Tech6.44
Idaho2.31
Incarnate Word1.54
Iowa2.09
Louisiana Tech-2.86
Louisville1.98
Loyola Chicago4.05
Loyola Marymount1.87
Loyola MD2.86
LSU1.92
Marquette1.21
Mount St. Mary's1.58
New Hampshire1.10
New Orleans0.75
North Carolina5.64
North Carolina St.-1.34
Northern Iowa4.91
Northwestern-0.88
Northwestern St.5.39
Ohio5.17
Oklahoma St.-0.61
Portland St.3.43
Providence1.84
Saint Joseph's-0.67
Saint Mary's2.17
Samford5.30
San Jose St.-1.30
Santa Clara0.78
Seton Hall1.48
Southern Utah1.28
St. Bonaventure5.47
St. Francis PA3.61
St. John's3.34
Stanford5.77
Texas1.12
Troy4.63
UCF5.57
USC0.94
Utah Valley0.66
Wisconsin-1.57

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