Friday, August 4, 2017

ERA and OPS of top 11 Players for 19 MLB Contenders: Nats, Astros, Dodgers, Diamondbacks Dominate

The 11 most important positions going into a Major League baseball playoff series are the eight starting position players and the first three starting pitchers. While a deep bench and relief pitching can determine series if these are fairly evenly matched, if the top three starting pitchers throw well they can throw most of the innings in a playoff series facing mainly the eight best starters the opposing team can put on the field while covering all nine positions (obviously AL games have a DH as well, but they have less impact since they cannot take runs away on defense).

The following table compares the two best traditional stats, the Earned Run Average (ERA) for the three pitchers and On Base Percentage Plus Slugging Average for the eight batters (OPS). These are not perfect stats - on-base percentage is almost twice as important as slugging average and both are impacted by ballparks for example - but they represent a great bridge between traditional stats and modern analytics and the purpose of this breakdown is to focus on the players who will play most of the innings in a playoff series.

The league averages as of August 4 were a 4.34 ERA and a .751 OPS. However, the Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros, Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks are the top four teams in both stats when comparing these 11 players:

Team8 Pos OPSBatERA3 SPOverall
Red Sox0.792103.3355
Blue Jays0.737194.101418

The following is the breakdown of all 11 players for each of the 19 teams with the ERA and OPS of each player.

MLBPitcherAverage ERA4.34
MLBBatterAverage OPS0.751
AngelsSP1Alex Meyer3.74
AngelsSP2JC Ramirez4.03
AngelsSP3Ricky Nolasco4.90
AngelscfMike Trout1.159
AngelsssAndrelton Simmons0.816
Angels3bYunel Escobar0.727
AngelsCMartin Maldonado0.701
AngelsrfKole Calhoun0.682
Angels1BLuis Valbuena0.642
Angels2bCliff Pennington0.632
AngelslfBen Revere0.591
AstrosSP1Dallas Keuchel2.15
AstrosSP2Brad Peacock2.62
AstrosSP3Lance McCullers3.92
Astros2bJose Altuve1.000
AstroscfGeorge Springer0.974
AstrosssCarlos Correa0.966
AstroslfMarwin Gonzalez0.958
AstrosrfJosh Reddick0.838
Astros3bAlex Bregman0.816
Astros1BYulieski Gurriel0.783
AstrosCBrian McCann0.748
Blue JaysSP1Marcus Stroman3.19
Blue JaysSP2J.A. Happ3.92
Blue JaysSP3Marco Estrada5.19
Blue Jays1BJustin Smoak0.984
Blue Jays3bJosh Donaldson0.847
Blue JayslfPearce0.795
Blue JaysCRussell Martin0.745
Blue JaysrfBautista0.704
Blue JayscfKevin Pillar0.698
Blue JaysssTroy Tulowitzki0.678
Blue Jays2bRefsnyder0.448
BrewersSP1Chase Anderson2.89
BrewersSP2Jimmy Nelson3.37
BrewersSP3Zach Davies4.42
Brewers3bTravis Shaw0.923
Brewers1BEric Thames0.902
BrewerslfRyan Braun0.876
BrewersrfDomingo Santana0.856
Brewers2bEric Sogard0.81
BrewersCManny Pina0.801
BrewersssOrlando Arcia0.72
BrewerscfLewis Brinson0.513
CubsSP1Kyle Hendricks3.80
CubsSP2Jake Arrieta3.88
CubsSP3Jon Lester3.96
Cubs1BAnthony Rizzo0.915
Cubs3bKris Bryant0.899
CubsCWillson Contreras0.855
Cubs2bJavier Baez0.788
CubslfKyle Schwarber0.724
CubsssAddison Russell0.722
CubscfAlbert Almora Jr.0.717
CubsrfJason Heyward0.703
DiamondbacksSP1Zack Godley2.86
DiamondbacksSP2Zack Greinke3.10
DiamondbacksSP3Robbie Ray3.11
Diamondbacks1BPaul Goldschmidt1.031
DiamondbacksrfJ.D. Martinez1.006
Diamondbacks3bJake Lamb0.911
DiamondbackscfA.J. Pollock0.832
DiamondbacksssKetel Marte0.814
DiamondbacksrfDavid Peralta0.81
DiamondbacksCChris Iannetta0.794
Diamondbacks2bBrandon Drury0.77
DodgersSP1Clayton Kershaw2.04
DodgersSP2Alex Wood2.33
DodgersSP3Yu Darvish4.01
Dodgers3bJustin Turner0.979
Dodgers1BCody Bellinger0.954
DodgerslfChris Taylor0.913
DodgersssCorey Seager0.913
DodgerscfJoc Pederson0.806
DodgersrfYasiel Puig0.801
DodgersCYasmani Grandal0.792
Dodgers2bLogan Forsythe0.674
IndiansSP1Corey Kluber2.77
IndiansSP2Carlos Carrasco3.89
IndiansSP3Trevor Bauer5.25
IndiansrfLonnie Chisenhall0.954
Indians2bJose Ramirez0.938
Indians3bJose Ramirez0.938
IndiansssFrancisco Lindor0.805
IndianslfMichael Brantley0.795
IndianscfBradley Zimmer0.794
Indians1BCarlos Santana0.788
IndiansCYan Gomes0.68
MarinersSP1James Paxton2.68
MarinersSP2Felix Hernandez4.28
MarinersSP3Ariel Miranda4.41
Mariners2bRobinson Cano0.807
MarinerslfBen Gamel0.799
MarinersssJean Segura0.793
MarinersrfMitch Haniger0.783
Mariners3bKyle Seager0.776
MarinersCMike Zunino0.767
Mariners1BDanny Valencia0.74
MarinerscfJarrod Dyson0.677
NationalsSP1Max Scherzer2.21
NationalsSP2Gio Gonzalez2.66
NationalsSP3Stephen Strasburg3.25
NationalsrfBryce Harper1.041
Nationals3bAnthony Rendon0.997
Nationals2bDaniel Murphy0.945
Nationals1BRyan Zimmerman0.928
NationalslfAdam Lind0.9
NationalscfBrian Goodwin0.807
NationalsssTrea Turner0.746
NationalsCMatt Wieters0.66
OriolesSP1Dylan Bundy4.24
OriolesSP2Kevin Gausman5.37
OriolesSP3Wade Miley5.60
Orioles2bJonathan Schoop0.91
OriolesssJohnathan Schoop0.902
OrioleslfTrey Mancini0.865
OriolesrfSeth Smith0.817
Orioles1BChris Davis0.767
OriolescfAdam Jones0.763
Orioles3bManny Machado0.751
OriolesCWelington Castillo0.751
RangersSP1Andrew Cashner3.36
RangersSP2Cole Hamels4.01
RangersSP3Martin Perez5.13
Rangers3bAdrian Beltre0.875
Rangers1BJoey Gallo0.869
RangersssElvis Andrus0.801
RangerscfCarlos Gomez0.796
RangersCRobinson Chirinos0.781
RangersrfShin-Soo Choo0.779
RangerslfNomar Mazara0.747
Rangers2bRougned Odor0.69
RaysSP1Jacob Faria2.93
RaysSP2Chris Archer3.89
RaysSP3Alex Cobb3.89
Rays1BLogan Morrison0.904
RaysrfSteven Souza Jr.0.893
RayslfCorey Dickerson0.881
Rays3bEvan Longoria0.789
RayscfMallex Smith0.742
RaysCJesus Sucre0.656
Rays2bBrad Miller0.649
RaysssAdeiny Hechavarria0.584
Red SoxSP1Chris Sale2.70
Red SoxSP2Drew Pomeranz3.46
Red SoxSP3David Price3.82
Red Sox3bRafael Devers1
Red SoxrfMookie Betts0.815
Red Sox2bDustin Pedroia0.792
Red SoxlfAndrew Benintendi0.766
Red SoxcfJackie Bradley Jr.0.765
Red Sox1BMitch Moreland0.751
Red SoxssXander Bogaerts0.741
Red SoxCChristian Vazquez0.709
RockiesSP1Kyle Freeland3.71
RockiesSP2German Marquez4.11
RockiesSP3Jeff Hoffman5.38
RockiescfCharlie Blackmon0.99
Rockies3bNolan Arenado0.961
RockieslfGerardo Parra0.903
Rockies1BMark Reynolds0.892
Rockies2bDJ LeMahieu0.796
RockiesssTrevor Story0.725
RockiesCJonathan Lucroy0.645
RockiesrfCarlos Gonzalez0.641
RoyalsSP1Jason Vargas3.10
RoyalsSP2Danny Duffy3.42
RoyalsSP3Jason Hammel4.75
Royals1BEric Hosmer0.869
Royals3bMike Moustakas0.852
RoyalsCSalvador Perez0.824
Royals2bWhit Merrifield0.802
RoyalsrfMelky Cabrera0.773
RoyalscfLorenzo Cain0.771
RoyalslfAlex Gordon0.595
RoyalsssAlcides Escobar0.567
TigersSP1Michael Fulmer3.59
TigersSP2Justin Verlander4.29
TigersSP3Jordan Zimmermann5.35
TigerslfJustin Upton0.885
TigerscfMikie Mahtook0.802
TigersCJames McCann0.773
TigersrfJim Adduci0.765
Tigers1BMiguel Cabrera0.758
Tigers3bNick Castellanos0.742
Tigers2bIan Kinsler0.719
TigersssJose Iglesias0.658
TwinsSP1Ervin Santana3.28
TwinsSP2Jose Berrios3.57
TwinsSP3Adalberto Mejia4.30
Twins3bMiguel Sano0.871
TwinslfEddie Rosario0.787
Twins2bBrian Dozier0.753
Twins1BJoe Mauer0.751
TwinsssEhire Adrianza0.734
TwinsrfMax Kepler0.726
TwinsCJason Castro0.689
TwinscfZach Granite0.596
YankeesSP1Luis Severino2.98
YankeesSP2Jordan Montgomery4.15
YankeesSP3Masahiro Tanaka4.93
YankeesrfAaron Judge1.051
YankeescfAaron Hicks0.913
YankeesCGary Sanchez0.845
YankeesssDidi Gregorius0.823
Yankees2bStarlin Castro0.816
YankeeslfBrett Gardner0.81
Yankees1bChase Headley0.741
Yankees3bTodd Frazier0.734

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