Showing posts with label mlb playoffs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mlb playoffs. Show all posts

Saturday, September 9, 2023

Urias Suspended as Statis-Pro and MLB Playoffs Aligned Except for Cubs (in actual MLB) and Giants (in actual Statis-Pro)

The suspension of Julio Urias hurts the Dodgers Statis-Pro rotation, where he was the No. 2 starter as part of our only 4-man rotation of PB 2-8 starters. They still have two PB 2-8 starters going for their series with the Twins with Tony Gonsolin and Bobby Miller moving up from No. 3 and 4 to No. 2 and 3. However, in the next series against the Phillies it will hurt as Lance Lynn, only an average PB 4-7, will step into the No. 4 slot against the Phillies.

In our league, we use player cards unless a player is put on the 60-day DL, is dropped from the 40-man roster, or is unlikely to pitch again during the actual MLB season. Reports today are that Urias is not predicted to pitch again this year. All of our pitching match-ups for our last 13 series are listed below. The series do not need to be played in order, and it is fine if one team has played more games than another and is in a different part of their rotation since in such a case the match-up is still balanced because one team could be starting their 1st and 4th best pitcher while the other could be starting their 2nd and 3rd best pitcher.

The Urias suspension gives the Phillies a shot at our playoffs, with a better chance for a win in that game to follow the drubbing of the Marlins put our Statis-Pro standings in very close alignment with the actual Major League Baseball standings as most of our teams are through 60 of their 72 game season. The Padres were relegated after 48 games for missing the .400 mark, leaving nine Statis-Pro teams competing for six playoff spots. 

If both playoffs started today, we would have the same two byes in Statis-Pro and the MLB season (Braves and Dodgers) and three of the same four wildcard series (only the Giants would be in our Statis-Pro playoffs while the Cubs would be in the actual MLB playoffs).  The four teams in bold still have one series to finish their fifth time through their 4-man rotation. After that, each team has two more series, counting as 12 games total and going through their 4-man rotation one last time before our playoffs.
 
Seed  MLB Playoff Seeds Today     Statis-Pro Playoff Seeds Today       Wins  Losses   W%
1Atlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers (v. Det)36180.667
2Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves (v. Oak)32220.593
3Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers33270.550
4Philadelphia PhilliesArizona Diamondbacks (v. SF)28260.519
5Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants (v. AZ)27270.500
6Arizona DiamondbacksPhiladelphia Phillies30300.500
 Next 4Next 4WinsLossesW%
7Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins30300.500
8Cincinnati RedsChicago Cubs28320.467
9San Francisco GiantsCincinnati Reds27330.450
10San Diego PadresSD Padres (relegated after 19-29)19290.395

Series 10 (No. 2 and No. 3 starters, next to last start) 

Ari vs. SF (Merrill Kelly and Tommy Henry vs. Alex Cobb and Alex Wood) 


LAD vs. zmin (Tony Gonsolin and Bobby Miller vs. Sonny Gray and Kenta Maeda) 

Series 11 (No. 1 and No. 4 starters for last appearance) 



Series 11.5 (No. 1 and 4 starters for 1st team listed, No. 2 and 3 for 2nd team listed) 


Atl vs. SF (Spencer Strider and Kyle Wright vs. Alex Cobb and Alex Wood) 

Mil vs. Mia (Corbin Burnes and Eric Lauer vs. Trevor Rogers and Johnny Cueto) 



Series 12 (No. 2 and 3 starters for both teams) 

Ari vs. Atl (Merrill Kelly and Tommy Henry vs. Charlie Morton and Max Fried) 

Mil vs. Phi (Brendon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta vs. Aaron Nola and Michael Lorenzen) 

Cin vs. LAD (Hunter Greene and Nick Lodolo vs. Tony Gonsolon and Bobby Miller) 

Teams' winning percentages average about .025 overall in our Statis-Pro season because they do not play the relegated teams as often as during the actual Major League system. From among our three .500 teams now, the Giants get the top (5th) spot due to being 9-3 against the Phillies and Marlins, then the Phillies get the 6th spot because of sweeping the Marlins. The Phillies do have to face the Brewers and Dodgers their last two series.

The Marlins challenge is I accidentally used up excellent rookie Perez' last start against the Phillies, meaning a much weaker Cueto card will need to start twice in the last four games. The Giants series against the Diamondbacks is obviously key.

Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 

If you are playing the current 2023 season, you can use these optional adjustments for 149 players who were playing much better or worse than than their projected 2023 pitchers or 2023 batters in card form. 

Friday, October 7, 2022

MLB Playoffs: 9 of 12 teams overlap with Statis-Pro Playoff Teams

 The Major League Baseball playoffs start today. 

Nine of the 12 teams overlap with the teams that emerged from the season we played out with Statis-Pro projected 2022 cards created at the beginning of the season. We will cover the key players who led their team to overachieve by playing much better in the actual season than the 2022 projected cards - starting with the Mariners Julio Rodriguez who would get this card based on his actual stats this season.



In Statis-Pro the Brewers, Twins and White Sox made the playoffs, while in real life they were replaced by the Phillies, Mariners and Rays. A 4th team that was much better in real life than in the Statis-Pro season are the Astros. We will add the players who performed much better than their Statis-Pro card projected.

The Statis-Pro NL was played in tournament style this summer, and the bracket is how the teams finished. The Statis-Pro AL was a mini-season, and results are the bracket right now with a couple of games to play.




And then courtesy of CBS Sports, here is the actual MLB bracket for the real season.

Here are the players who were much better this season - and thus have much better Statis-Pro cards next year then they had this year. Each of the four teams had one pitcher that improved to one of the top pitchers in the league and will have a dominant PB 2-9 card based on this season. Their new card appears in this blog.

Houston Astros - Justin Verlander

Philadelphia Phillies - David Robertson

Seattle Mariners - Paul Sewald, and if we had a card for just his games pitched after being traded to the Mariners, then Luis Castillo would also make this list.

Tampa Bay Rays - Shane McClanahan

In addition, the Astros and Mariners benefitted from three of the 10 most improved batters in the league.

Eugenio Suarez and Julio Rodriguez (see card at top) dominated for the Mariners, and Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez for the Astros.






Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Statis-Pro Playoff Teams Settled - Only Blue Jays Exceeded Actual MLB Team

The Chicago White Sox won a thrilled 4-3 season finale to finish the season 30-30 in Statis-Pro, exactly matching their 81-81 .500 campaign in the real season. However, in our season .500 was good enough to snag the 6th and final playoff spot, while in actual play that left them short. Here are our standings, with only the Yankees, Twins and Guardians still scheduled to face the Orioles to determine which of them gets the other bye spot besides Toronto.




Because it is an 11-team lead, these 11 do not get to play the 4 teams we left out of the league, which combined for a .400 record. Therefore each team in this league should finish .041 percent lower in the Statis-Pro season then their real team.

Each team actually plays only 20 games - 2 against each of the other 10 - so you would expect a wide margin of error between Statis-Pro and actual results.

However, pending those final three series, 6 of the 11 teams had very similar records in Statis-Pro to actual MLB play. 

The two teams that played better in Statis-Pro were the Blue Jays and Twins - in green.

The three teams that played worse were the Mariners, Rays and Orioles.