Friday, May 7, 2021

Wrigley (11-55 HR) Cost Cubs Win; Reds Pen Blows 1

The Reds pen blew the first game when their top two relievers (Lorenzen and Garrett) both games up multiple runs in less than an inning in a 6-5 loss. However, lousy fielding hurt on a few clutch defense plays, including the walk off when Farmer could not get to a grounder to short to turn it into a single.

In the second game Marinsnick, who had come in to pinch run previously for Heyward, hit a deep drive that could have been a 2-run game winning homer but did not make it out of Wrigley (11-55 Home Run, 66-88 out). In the top of the 9th Senzel hit the game winning homer on a deep drive that did get out barely (44).



 

Thursday, May 6, 2021

Bumgarner's 7 innings help DBacks past Brewers

 While Burns has the best PB (2-9) he only averaged 3 innings a game, meaning he can only 4 innings at full strength. He threw 5 innings of no hit ball in the opener, but the normally dominant Brewers pen let the game slip away after allowing a pinch hit homer and double to Peralta and Smith in a 4-2 dbacks win.

With both pens tired for game 2, bumgarner (endurance strong with an Sr 16) gave the dbacks 7 innings with only two runs allowed, while Woodruff barely lasted 5 innings, and again the pen faltered for a 5-3 dbacks win.





Monday, May 3, 2021

Martinez bat and pitching helps Cards beat Padres

 Note Carlos Martinez not only picked up the win relieving a scoreless 5th and 6th, but he has one of the best pitcher's hitting cards (Home Run: 25) and hit for himself and had a key hit in the game winning rally. Like in real baseball, the Padres players look dominant, but they finish this series with a decent but not great 22-20 record.



NL Byes if Season ended today
New York 27-15
Milwaukee 23-13
NL Wildcards if Season ended today
St. Louis 25-17
Los Angeles 24-18
Arizona 20-16
Cincinnati 20-16
NL Miss Playoffs if season ended today
San Diego 22-20
Atlanta 21-21
Washington 21-21
Chicago 16-20




Sunday, May 2, 2021

deGrom worst start still quality win in split with Braves

 Despite JD Davis (worst Clutch Defense of CD1) misplacing a grounder in to single to allow a 3-run Braves inning, deGrom finished a 6 inning quality start for another Mets win in Statis-Pro. 

Note the first game was not scored a sweep, because it was only 6-3 Mets at the end of 8 innings - the point at which a team mist be ahead 5 to have a chance for the sweep. At that point the Braves could use their two fringe players in the 9th, where Joseph gave up 6 runs and Ynoa a 7th, the lose 13-3, but save top relievers for the nightcap- which they needed in a 1-0 win.

More important for me was getting in 2 miles on the walking desk during the twin bill.





Saturday, May 1, 2021

10 Team NL Play Resumes; Nats' Scherzer-Strasburg Top Dodgers to Reach .500

Scherzer and Strasburg combined for 15 scoreless innings against the Dodgers to win 3-0 and 3-2. The Nats were lucky to be at home in game two, when both Turner and Harrison hit first inning home runs that would have just been long fly balls in most parks and certainly in Dodger Stadium, but not in the Nats hitter happy park (11-83 Home Run, 84-88 Deep Fly is best hitters pa

rk in NL besides Colorado's 11-88 Home Run - and both  homers were on deep drives in the 60s.).



Video of Stacking Player Cards and Tracking Pitcher's Rest and Endurance (using Dodgers vs. Nats)

Here is another quick video on storing the players cards for quick play. The video shows how to place relievers who must rest behind starting pitchers until he is available to pitch again. Everyone can choose how to determine how long pitchers can stay in a game before they are tired, can pitch again, but here is how we keep track.

How long can a pitcher pitch in a game?

Statis-Pro uses an SR rating for the starting pitcher's endurance, and an RR rating for a reliever's endurance. That number is reduced if any of the following happen:

- The pitcher allows a runner to each base unless it is due to an error.

- The pitcher allows a run to score, unless that runner is on based due to an error.

- An inning ends.

For example, if a pitcher had an SR of 12 and he allowed a single it would drop to 11. If he walked the next batter it would drop to 10. If the next player hit a 3-run homer it would drop four more to 6 (one of another runner reaching and three more for 3 scoring). If he then retired the next three batters to end the inning, it would drop to 5 because the inning ended.

Once the SR or RR drops to 0 he would normally leave the game though he can stay in the game and his PB drops by 1 when he hits 0, and drops an extra 1 for every extra reduction based on any of the above. For example, a pitcher with the best PB:2-9 who ran out of SR or RR would drop to a PB2-8, then PB2-7, PB4-7, PB2-6, PB2-5, PB2-4, PB2-3, PB2-2 and if he dropped one more he would not have a PB. A pitcher completely out of a PB performs the same as a position player brought into pitch, the PB rating is skipped and the Random Number or Dice Roll of 11-88 is read immediately off the batter's card.

However, even if a pitcher still has SR or RR endurance, his PB can be reduced if he exceeds the following number of innings or batters:

Type of PitcherMax IPor Batters FacedRest Games
Starting PitcherAve IP + 1Ave IP x 43
Long Relief (ave. 2.1+ IP)281
Short Relief141

In addition to an SR/RR rating, each pitcher has an average number of innings pitched on their card.

For a starter, round that number up and then add 1 inning for the most innings he can pitch. For example, if a starter averaged 4.3 innings pitched, we round up to 5 and add one inning, so 6 innings is the most he can pitch even if he still had SR endurance remaining.

If he remains past the end of that inning, his PB drops 1 every batter even if he gets them out.

The only exception we make is if a pitcher is really on a roll, perhaps a perfect game after several innings, then we do let them calculated a "maximum batters faced" which is the average innings pitched x 4. so that same pitcher with an average 4.3 innings alternate batter count is 17, so could not take him past 6 innings anyway, BUT if a great pitcher averaged 6.7 innings pitched then he could instead pitch to 27 batters instead of 8 innings without a reduction, so he could theoretically take a shot at a perfect game.

The Long Reliever would normally pitch 2 innings max, but if he came in during an inning he can either finish that inning and the next for his 2 innings, or he can go up to 8 batters total. You might note that means he would average less than his 2+ average innings BUT we are letting him pitch every other game, so overall this let's him pitch just slightly more than he would in the season.

Likewise, the Short Reliever can pitch one full inning, or come in and pitch to four batters at full strength. Keep in mind a great PB2-9 like Chapman or Hader with an RR of 2 could be reduced 1st by simply allowing two baserunners, or finishing one inning and then allowing one baserunner. However, they are still very effective as a PB2-8, or even strong as a PB2-7.

How many games must pitchers rest after pitching?

During my league play I play all 2-game series and keep it simple. Each bullpen starts fresh for the series, and if a pitcher pitches in one game then they cannot pitch in the second game.

However, during my playoffs or when I have not played all 2-game series, I require relievers to rest based on the following:

RELIEVERS REST. If a reliever pitches to at least 5 batters they must skip the next game. If they pitch to at least 10 batters they must skip two games. If a player pitches in consecutive games, even if to fewer than 5 batters, they must sit out the next game.

STARTING PITCHERS REST 3 GAMES. Obviously pitchers really pitch in 5-man rotations now, but in our league we have them pitch every four games.

How long are position players injured?

When a player is injured on a Z-play, we only keep the player out for the remainder of the two game series - so even if injured in the first game they miss the remainder of that game and the second game of the series. In the playoffs, or if we were not playing 2 game series, we make them miss the remainder of the game plus one full game.

We do not use the Injury Rating traditionally used in Statis-Pro because we use projected stats and therefore do not us "fluke cards."

The injury rating is important when using cards from a single season to guard against a player with a unrealistically great player card due to hitting a few home runs in very few at bats. The biggest example in history of this was when Mike Schmidt put together one of the greatest seasons ever for a Home Run range of 28-38, and a little used player named Mickey Klutts had one of the best Home Run ranges ever of an even better 25-41 based on about 50 at bats and completely out of line with the rest of his career.

With those cards, Klutts injury was the highest so the first time he was injured he might miss 60 or 70 games, while if Schmidt was hurt he might just miss a game. However, the way we do it Klutts would have had a mediocre card based on his projected stats, and there would have been no need for a high injury rating.

Friday, April 30, 2021

Game tips on injuries and pitcher endurance as Cubs sneaks into 10th and final spot



Pretty hard to compete with the NFL draft, particularly when my last chance to play a 2-game set was Sunday in Colorado at 10,000 feet, before this Friday night game back in Alabama.

The two games tonight finished the 2 game series Sunday. As an fyi, 2 games take me a total of an hour while on my walking desk, for those of youbwho believe I have time to kill when playing these games.

First the Cubs truly backed into the final 10, being shut down for one run in two games by the Cards to get to 16-22, in 10th place of the 10 teams to make it, and just snuck in by a game over the Rockies and Marlins.

A Cubs homer by Pederson in the first game was we only run in either game in the losses of 2-1 and 6-0 (sweep in 2nd game made it 5 games to 1 on the record).

Game tip for others playing the Statis-Pro game is we only play that injuries last until the end of the we series. However Arenado was hurt in the first game so Carpenter came in at third base and then homered in game 2.



The Braves came back to win the second game against the Reds to split the series and stay at .500 at 18-18.

Bigger injury here as the Reds Senzel had a homer and two doubles and was then lost in the second game.

Also of note for Statis-Pro players is the decision regarding bringing in Martin in Game 2. You will see his card at the bottom left in the photo below. He had the best park neutral ERA available and his pb2-9 indicates he is in the top 5 percent of all pitchers. However his RR of 2 usually means he only pitches on inning because that is lowered means any time  a player reaches 1st (except on error) or scores, or an inning ends. Once two of those things happen he is a pb2-8- then every time another happens he is a 2-7- then 4-7, 2-6, etc.

Relievers can only pitch one inning or four up to 4 batters if they pitch in more than one inning, and after that if they still have rr they still lose one pb every batter faced.

In addition to that, in our league a team gets credit for winning three games in a row only if they lead by 5 runs at the end of the 8th AND they have not used the reliever available with the best era on his card has not been used by the 8th.

All of that being factored, the Braves led 5-1 going into the 8th, at which point if Dayton could pitch the top of the 8th and the Braves could add one run in the bottom of the 8th then they could claim the 3-game sweep with a 6-1 lead after 8 ad long as they held onto win the 8th.

However when Dayton gave up a 2-run homer and then walked runner to put the tying run on the plate, he dropped from a pb2-7 to a pb2-4, with Suarez coming to the plate as the tying run. Suddenly the focus turned to winning g the game to get 2 games to 1 credit with the sweep seeming out of range.

Martin came in to protect the 5-3 lead, thus forfeiting any chance for a sweep because he was used before the 9th inning.

Martin got the final out of the 8th, however the end of the inning meant his rr dropped from 2 to 1.

In the 9th he retired the first two batters, but he walked Naquin. At this point he was reduced to a pb2-8 - this would have happened because it was his 5th batter over more than one inning, or because the rr was reduced to 0, but you just give him the worst of the two methods you don't double down, so he became a pb2-8 to face Lorenzon, but would have dropped to a pb2-7 for the next batter etc due to being last 4 batters.

However, he struck out Lorenzen to wrap up the save, 5-3, and earn the split.