Sunday, March 12, 2023

Bracket VIII - KenPom plus Experience - Xavier beats Memphis for Title

Note: click here for the bracket results for all 8 methods.

Our 8th and final bracket takes KenPom and adjusts by the total experience of the best six players on the game. (Updated Note, in 2023 this topped almost all brackets in the 99th percentile through the first two rounds).

This year's final seems a bit of a longshot, with Xavier beating an 8-seed for the title. Nonetheless, we list it in case you believe experience can make the difference.





The fourth factor, which we do not weight very heavily, is experience. Based on the top 6 players on each team, the Experience number below indicates the average experience. The 3.0 by Memphis, Missouri, and Vermont indicates the top six players on each team are all seniors.

Meanwhile the six teams with a number of 1.0 or lower have six players who average between a freshman and sophomore. Marquette has six sophomores in those spots and their 7th, 8th and 9th are all freshmen. Arkansas, Alabama, Purdue, Florida Atlantic and Duke are also freshmen and sophomore driven teams. As often happens, three of the least experienced teams are also the three teams with the most NBA talent - Duke, Arkansas and Alabama.

TeamExperienceExp RankNBA PlayersNBA Rank
Memphis3.010.023
Missouri3.020.023
Vermont3.030.023
Xavier2.840.616
San Diego St.2.850.023
Virginia2.760.519
N.C. State2.770.023
Oral Roberts2.780.023
Texas A&M Corpus Chris2.790.023
UNC Asheville2.7100.023
Utah St.2.7110.023
West Virginia2.7120.023
Texas2.5130.713
Boise St.2.5140.023
Iowa St.2.5150.023
Kansas St.2.5160.023
Kennesaw St.2.5170.023
Maryland2.5180.023
Penn St.2.5190.023
Pittsburgh2.5200.023
Gonzaga2.3210.615
TCU2.3220.520
Colgate2.3230.023
Drake2.3240.023
Fairleigh Dickinson2.3250.023
Kent St.2.3260.023
Michigan St.2.3270.023
Northern Kentucky2.3280.023
Providence2.3290.023
UC Santa Barbara2.3300.023
Iowa2.2310.614
Auburn2.2320.023
Mississippi St.2.2330.023
Texas A&M2.2340.023
Arizona2.0351.38
Arizona St.2.0360.023
Charleston2.0370.023
Furman2.0380.023
Iona2.0390.023
Montana St.2.0400.023
UCLA1.8411.84
Saint Mary's1.8420.811
Louisiana1.8430.023
Nevada1.8440.023
Northwestern1.8450.023
Connecticut1.7461.19
Indiana1.7470.810
Tennessee1.7480.712
Illinois1.7490.517
Texas Southern1.7500.422
Grand Canyon1.7510.023
Southeast Missouri St.1.7520.023
USC1.7530.023
Miami FL1.5540.023
Princeton1.5550.023
VCU1.5560.023
Kansas1.3571.55
Kentucky1.3581.56
Howard1.3590.421
Baylor1.2601.57
Creighton1.2610.023
Marquette1.0620.023
Arkansas0.8633.12
Alabama0.8642.63
Purdue0.8650.518
Florida Atlantic0.7660.023
Duke0.5673.81



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