Showing posts with label San Francisco Giants. Show all posts
Showing posts with label San Francisco Giants. Show all posts

Friday, October 27, 2023

What If 83-79 Cubs Edged 84-78 DBacks? Statis-Pro Playoffs Rosters

 The Chicago Cubs faced the misfortunate of closing the season at Atlanta and Milwaukee, losing the first four of those games by a total of five runs and ultimately losing the last playoff spot to the Arizona Diamondbacks by just one game with a 83-79 record.

The lack of any home field advantage in baseball playoffs was proven once again as both the ALCS and NLCS featured a road win in Game 7 - meaning the visiting team still has an all-time edge in baseball Game 7s while the home teams in other sports dominate.

How close were the Cubs to returning to the World Series?

With wildcards seeming to dominate in the new playoff format against the top teams with wins, the Cubs may have been very close. Once again the dominant teams - the 100-win Braves and Dodgers - were cast aside and the Diamondbacks that barely caught the Cubs are now representing the NL in the real World Series starting tonight.  Arizona has the worst record ever to make the World Series except for the 1973 New York Mets (lost World Series) and the 2006 St. Louis Cardinals (won World Series).

In Statis-Pro it was the reverse, The Cubs grabbed a Wild Card spot and it was the Diamondbacks who fell one game short.

The Astros have already won our Statis-Pro AL World Series. The Phillies have won our first NL Wild Card series over the Brewers to move on and face the Braves. Now the Cubs play their 3-game Wild Card against our other non-real season team to make the Statis-Pro playoffs, the San Francisco Giants.

We went through the Statis-Pro cards and only kept the cards of players who were on the current MLB depth chart and NOT on the 60-day DL. This eliminated Roberto Perez. But other players who were just on the 10- or 15-day DL are kept in our game and have the note "allow" by their name below.

These are our Statis-Pro rosters for this wild card series, and the winner will get the Dodgers.

A blow the the Cubs is that even though we do select upgrades for the most improved batters and pitchers, we only adjust by one PB - so Justin Steele can only be upgraded from his project PB 4-7 card to a PB 2-7 - but not nearly as good as the PB 2-8 or 2-9 he will get next year based on this year's dominate season. Also we started out the Mark Leiter starting in Statis-Pro this season since he had started some games last year, but he stayed in the pen all year so will be the closer instead of pitching several innings a game.

If we did not have a card for the player yet, then we list the OPS and ERA on which their card is based. However, if they had fewer than 100 plate appearances or 15 games pitched then they get a below average card at best.

The only new/temporary cards of value for these playoffs are two good relievers for the Giants in a PB 2-8 Luke Jackson and a 2-7 Ryan Walker. For the Cubs, Mike Tauchman in centerfield has a slightly above average .739 OPS and gives a lefty bat with B/C speed, and reliver Jose Cuas is a PB 2-7 reliever with a 3.99 ERA over 72 games. The temporary cards can be found at the end of the 2023 pitchers and batters projected cards in the links below.

Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 



 
Giants           STARTER                     2ND                             
CPatrick Bailey .644 SNBlake Sabol
1BLaMonte Wade Jr.Roberto Perez (out 60)
2BThairo Estrada 
3BWilmer FloresCasey Schmitt
SSMarco Luciano .641 limited Brandon Crawford
LFMichael Conforto 
CFTyler Fitzgerald.733 42 PALuis Matos .661
RFMike Yastrzemski  
DHJoc PedersonMitch Haniger allow
Rot 1&2Logan WebbAlex Cobb allow
Rot 3&4Sean ManaeaKeaton Winn
Clos/SUCamilo DovalTyler Rogers
Rel 3&4Kyle Harrison 4.15 6 IP 7 Gm     Taylor Rogers
Rel 5&6Luke Jackson 2.97 2 IP 33 Gm  
Rel 7&8John BrebbiaRyan Walker 3.23 2 IP 49 Gm
   
CubsSTARTER2ND
CYan GomesMiguel Amaya
1BCody BellingerJared Young
2BNico Hoerner allowMiles Mastrobuoni
3BJeimer CandelarioNick Madrigal
SSDansby SwansonPatrick Wisdom
LFIan Happ 
CFMike Tauchman .739 401 PA LN    Pete Crow-Armstrong  .176 19 PA
RFSeiya SuzukiAlexander Canario
DHChristopher Morel 
Rot 1&2Justin SteeleMarcus Stroman
Rot 3&4Kyle HendricksJameson Taillon
Clos/SUAdbert AlzolayJulian Merryweather
Rel 3&4Mark Leiter Jr.Drew Smyly
Rel 5&6Brandon HughesBrad Boxberger allow
Rel 7&8Jose Cuas 3.99 2 IP 72 GmJavier Assad

Next up the 3-game series.

Saturday, August 12, 2023

16-Game NL Statis-Pro Summary: Giants Beat Marlins; Face Brewers

Our NL Statis-Pro season hits the 16-game mark season - four times through each 4-man rotation - with our upcoming San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers 2-game series. The link to all player cards and the game is at the bottom of this blog.

We include the box scores and line-ups for the Gants big 7-5 and 5-4 win over the Marlins, both reflected in this tracker of our games. Under our system in which each game counts as three games, won 3 games to 0 only if a team wins by 5 runs or more, the Marlins hit the mark at 26-22 for fourth place in our game - behind the Braves, Dodgers and Brewers in our overall standings.

Game 1              123        456        789           RHE
Miami000040010 590
San Fran00000304x 790
              
Game 2123456789 RH     E
San Fran002100011 5102
Miami100020001 480

The Giants and Marlins were originally relegated (the Cardinals, Pirates, Rockies and Nationals still are to leave an 11-team league). Therefore we had to play all 16 games for both teams to catchup to the other nine teams at the 16-game mark. 


Starting Pitcher Rotations: To make sure we can always play teams against each other even when one has played more games and at a different part of their rotation, we play all 2-game series and pitch either the No. 1 and No. 4 pitchers in the rotation, or the No. 2 and No. 3 pitchers neither team has a big disadvantage like they would if a series were to set up a No. 1 and No. 2 for one team, and No. 3 and No. 4 for the opponent.

Reliever Pitcher Usage: We also want each team to go in with the bullpen rested so one team doesn't have an advantage. Therefore each team can use each of their relievers in one but not both of their games in a 2-game series. Most relievers have an SR/RR: 0/3 and Max IP 2 on their card. In Statis-Pro the "3" means in relief they start with 3 endurance, and any time an inning ends, or they allow a player to reach base other than an error, or an earned run scores, then the endurance drops one. The "Max 2" means the pitcher can go part of 2 innings, but we normally have them pitch only 1 inning each unless they come in to get out of a jam in one inning and then stay on for another inning. However, this is dangerous because if they allow even a single runner, then the inning ends, they have dropped from RR 3 to RR 1 going into their one full inning. One more runner in their full inning and their endurance would already be out and their PB would drop by one (e.g. from a PB 2-8 to a PB 2-7) and continue to drop for any of the items listed above.

San Francisco Giants 2-game Box Score

Below is the combined box score for the Giants' batters in the two games against the Marlins. As noted in the line score above, the Giants trailed 4-0 in the first game until a th inning homer by JD Davis and then a game-winning 8th inning homer by Michael Conforto for the 7-5 win. In the second game Davis homered again, offsetting an error (he is a poor fielding third baseman with an E6, CD-1) to allow two unearned runs in the 5-4 win.

The Giants 20-22 mark going into the Brewers series is much better than last year's record, the last stats factored into the projected player cards, and but not as good as this year's incredible season. 
 
Giants Line-up                     Order    Pos    AB   R    H     RBI   Notes
Thairo Estrada12B92202b
Casey Schmitt2SS82312b
Joc Pederson3LF7100 
Mike Yastrzemski4CF72313b
JD Davis53B72342-HRs
Michael Conforto6RF7133GW-HR
Wilmer Flores7DH81102b
LaMonte Wade Jr./td>81B6000 
Blake Sabol9Ca7021 
SF .258 BA, .470  661117100.258

In the first game ace Alex Cobb pitched four no-hit innings, but was hit hard in the fifth inning and the bull pen needed to be strong to get the win. In the second game Alex Wood pitched well, but two fifth inning errors allowed two unearned runs and he ran out of endurance in the prolonged 5th inning.  Tylor Rogers (not the same pitcher as Taylor Rogers who saved the first game), did give up a homer to Jazz Chisholm Jr to allow the Marlins within 5-4  but then held on.

In facing the Brewers in the next series, a PB 2-8 righty Logan Webb will pitch the first game, then lefty Sean Manaea, who is not as dominant as some past years at PB 4-7.
 
Game 1 SF Pitching       IP      H     R      ER   W    K    Notes
Alex Cobb554415 
Scott Alexander120000 
Cole Waites100002 
Camilo Doval121101W
Taylor Rogers100000S
Game 2IPHRERWKNotes
Alex Wood4.353134 
Jakob Junis2.710023W
John Brebbia0.710000 
Tyler Rogers1.311100S
SF 3.50 ERA1817976153.50
1st Gm vs. Mil       
Logan Webb       
2nd Gm vs. Mil       
Sean Manaea      


Miami Marlins  2-game Box Score

The following are the Marlins stats for the 2-games. Note that unlike the Giants, their line-up did vary during the two games since the Giants threw a lefty and a righty in the two games. Under "order" you see Chisholm has a "1" and hit first both games, but then Jorge Soler's "3/2" means he batted 3rd against the lefty Alex Wood but 2nd against the righty (right of the slash) Alex Cobb.

 
Marlins Line-up              Order  Pos   AB  R   H   RBI  Notes
Jazz Chisholm Jr1SS7322HR,SB
Jorge Soler3/2RF9031 
Luis Arraez2/32B7001 
Jean Segurax/4DH4000 
Garrett Cooper4/51b3100 
Yuli Gurriel4/51B70202b
Jesús Sánchez6CF8130 
Joey Wendle8/73b6111 
Bryan De La Cruz7/9LF8240 
Nick Fortes9/8Ca81202b
Mia .254 BA, .328 Slug  6791750.254

On the pitching front, last year's Cy Young Award Winner Sandy Alcantara carried the lead and looked save until Drew's homer, but did not get the win after Tanner Scott gave up Conforto's homer.  The second game featured our first use of the new PB 2-7 card for rookie Eury Perez, who has been the best Marlins pitcher based purely on ERA, but does not have the endurance of Alcantara, who has a rare "Max 8 IP" in the modern game.

 
Game 1 Mia Pitching          IP     H    R   ER   W   K    Notes
Sandy Alcantara (Gm 1)753327 
Tanner Scott0.713320 L
David Robertson0.311100 
Game 2 Mia PitchingIPHRERWKNotes
Eury Pérez (Gm2)3.353322 
Andrew Nardi1.700002 
Tommy Nance110001 
Huascar Brazoban100000 
Steven Okert0.311120 L
AJ Puk1.331102 
Jorge Lopez0.300000 
Mia .4.76 ERA1712996144.76


Milwaukee Brewers Line-up for Giants Series

Note that the Brewers also rotated a couple of players based on if they hit lefties or righties better, but the line-up does not change - just the order.

The Brewers received three good batters in trades before the deadline, but the only one to crack the Statis-Pro starting line-up is 1st baseman Carlos Santana. He is both a much better 1st baseman than Rowdy Tellez, letting Tellez move to DH, but also kills left-handed pitching so we will bat him 3rd against Manaea while he will hit 6th in the opener.

While we have all 11-teams in one league rather than divisions, the Brewers are among the same three Division Leaders form real MLB in our Statis-Pro Standings (with the Braves and Dodgers).
 
Brewers Line-up     Order     Pos    AB    R    H    RBI   Notes
Christian Yelich1LF     
Rowdy Tellez2DH     
Jesse Winker5/3RF     
Roansy Contreras4Ca     
Willy Adames5SS     
Carlos Santana3/61B     
Brian Anderson73B     
Mike Brosseau82b     
Tyrone Taylor9CF    

And here are the two starting pitchers who will face the Giants.

 
Game 1 Mil Pitching         IP    H   R   ER   W   K    Notes
Brandon Woodruff       
Game 2 Mil Pitching       
Freddy Peralta      


The following are all the links you need to play the game yourself.

Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 

If you are playing the current 2023 season, you can use these optional adjustments for 149 players who were playing much better or worse than than their projected 2023 pitchers or 2023 batters in card form.