Monday, April 7, 2025

9 Slight Updates to Men's Cards and Our Bracket Falls from 99.9% to 98% with Duke Loss

In addition to the four new Women's teams added to the Value Add Basketball Game great teams from the 2025 season, we had recently added several men's teams already listed. Nine of those teams were still playing, and their team cards still good except some need their Dunk Range and Adj Dunk defensive ratings adjusted slightly until they are updated. The following are the link to those 9 teams with the slight adjustments to the cards.

The bracket we based on www.kenpom.com balance in offense and defense rose to 40,000th of 24,400,000 until Duke blew their lead on Houston late. Now even after the correct pick of Florida as champ the bracket was still only back to the 98th percentile. That's it for the college basketball focus for a while. Below is the image of the high mark for the bracket before the Duke loss.



Arizona 2025, Off 114, Def 100 , Rating -3 Caleb Love - cards are accurate as recently posted

Arkansas 2025, Off 107, Def 98 , Rating -8 Adou Thiero - cards are accurate as recently posted

Auburn 2025, Off 122, Def 101 , Rating +4 Johni Broome - rating increased to +6, dunk improved to 51-62 and defensive Adj Dunk improved to -1



BYU 2025, Off 118, Def 111 , Rating -10 Richie Saunders - cards are accurate as recently posted


Duke 2025, Off123, Def 97 , Rating +9 Cooper Flagg - rating increased to +11, dunk improved to 51-61 and defensive Adj Dunk improved to -1

Florida 2025, Off 123, Def 98 , Rating +8 Walter Clayton - rating increased to +12, dunk improved to 51-62 and defensive Adj Dunk improved to -2


Maryland 2025, Off 112, Def 100 , Rating -5 Derik Queen - cards are accurate as recently posted

Michigan State 2025, Off 111, Def 94 , Rating 0 Jaxon Kohler - rating increased to +1, dunk improved to 51-56 and defensive Adj Dunk improved to -3

Mississippi 2025, Off 111, Def 101 , Rating -7 Sean Pedulla - cards are accurate as recently posted



Sunday, April 6, 2025

UConn Dominates, Added as 1 of 4 New Women's Value Add Basketball Teams

While we had switched to our Statis-Pro baseball half of the season, today's basketball women's championship  required another post ...

UConn looked every bit as dominant as the great teams over the years in two blowout wins in the Final 4 this weekend to take the schools 12th championship. It has been a while (2016) since we added a UConn Women's team to the Value Add Basketball Game, so we have calculated their cards along with three other Sweet 16 teams we are adding because their school was not yet represented in the game - Mississippi, Kansas State, and the second best 2025 team we are adding - TCU. Last year's South Carolina team is already in the game, and we usually wait at least a few years to add a new team.

Here are the cards which you can use, but they will be added to the list on the game instructions soon for easier printing.








The following are links to the 10 players from each team in the game. Our format limits us to including the 10 main players for each team to fit on the one sheet - with five starters in the top row and five players off the bench in the bottom row.

Player                                          Great_Team                                                pos
Kaitlyn ChenConnecticut 2025, 5'9, ppg 7.11-PG
Azzi FuddConnecticut 2025, 5'11, ppg 13.32-SG
Paige BueckersConnecticut 2025, 5'11, ppg 203-SF
Sarah StrongConnecticut 2025, 6'2, ppg 16.24-PF
Jana El AlfyConnecticut 2025, 6'4, ppg 5.15-C
KK ArnoldConnecticut 2025, 5'9, ppg 5.41-PG
Ice BradyConnecticut 2025, 6'3, ppg 3.72-SG
Ashlynn ShadeConnecticut 2025, 5'10, ppg 7.83-SF
Morgan CheliConnecticut 2025, 6'2, ppg 2.54-PF
Aubrey GriffinConnecticut 2025, 6'1, ppg 4.75-C
Serena SundellKansas St. 2025, 6'1, ppg 14.11-PG
Zyanna WalkerKansas St. 2025, 5'8, ppg 8.22-SG
Jaelyn GlennKansas St. 2025, 6'1, ppg 9.73-SF
Temira PoindexterKansas St. 2025, 6'1, ppg 12.54-PF
Ayoka LeeKansas St. 2025, 6'6, ppg 15.45-C
Taryn SidesKansas St. 2025, 5'6, ppg 9.21-PG
Gisela SanchezKansas St. 2025, 6'3, ppg 4.22-SG
Eliza MaupinKansas St. 2025, 6'3, ppg 3.93-SF
Imani LesterKansas St. 2025, 6'3, ppg 2.44-PF
Kennedy TaylorKansas St. 2025, 6'3, ppg 7.15-C
Tameiya SadlerMississippi 2025, 5'8, ppg 6.71-PG
Madison ScottMississippi 2025, 6'1, ppg 11.82-SG
Kennedy Todd-WilliamsMississippi 2025, 5'11, ppg 11.43-SF
Sira ThienouMississippi 2025, 6'0, ppg 10.54-PF
Starr JacobsMississippi 2025, 6'2, ppg 10.95-C
KK DeansMississippi 2025, 5'8, ppg 9.31-PG
Mariyah NoelMississippi 2025, 5'10, ppg 2.22-SG
Ayanna ThompsonMississippi 2025, 6'1, ppg 2.33-SF
Kharyssa RichardsonMississippi 2025, 6'2, ppg 3.74-PF
Christeen IwualaMississippi 2025, 6'2, ppg 6.85-C
Hailey Van LithTCU 2025, 5'7, ppg 17.91-PG
Donovyn HunterTCU 2025, 6'0, ppg 5.92-SG
Madison ConnerTCU 2025, 5'11, ppg 14.43-SF
Agnes Emma-NnopuTCU 2025, 5'11, ppg 6.54-PF
Sedona PrinceTCU 2025, 6'7, ppg 17.25-C
Una JovanovicTCU 2025, 5'9, ppg 21-PG
Knisha GodfreyTCU 2025, 5'9, ppg 1.72-SG
Taylor BigbyTCU 2025, 6'1, ppg 5.93-SF
Aaliyah RobersonTCU 2025, 6'2, ppg 4.74-PF
Deasia MerrillTCU 2025, 6'1, ppg 3.95-C

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Verlander Bests Musgrove as Padres Fielding Collapses.

 Admittedly we had one eye on the UConn women looking like a potential new Value Add Basketball team as they won a Final 4 blowout, while we had see Justin Verlander look 42 years old in his real debut.

However in the Statis-pro baseball debut he enjoyed a couple of deep drives being caught in his new home park in San Francisco and ridiculous support in a 13-2 win.


The Padres Joe Musgrove had the worst luck we remember, with 3 errors committed behind him as he allowed 6 runs, all unearned.





Friday, April 4, 2025

NL "old West" Project Cards

You can play your own free Statis-Pro game and any of our all time greatest 60 teams by clicking here, or you can use the 2025 projected batters and pitchers.

The format is just google sheets, so you need to define the area around a team and then print. We will start to produce PDFs of each team like below to give you another option. Our opening 2-game series was the LA Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds in one of two 6-team NL Divisions we will play. Here the other four teams in that division - five teams from the old NL West Division from back when I was playing in the 1980s and 90s - with the addition of Arizona. Here is a PDF, with the batters, then the fielders in the middle, then the pitcher's for the rest of our "old NL West + ARI."

The red player is the suggested closer, with suggested starting pitchers above them and relievers below them. They basically go from best to worst with the top 6 starters we recommend at the top, then below the closer another 13 relieves from next best to worst.

Standings

LA Dodgers 5-1

SD Padres 0-0

Atlanta Braves 0-0

SF Giants 0-0

Arizona Diamondbacks 0-0

Cincinnati Reds 1-5

Arizona Diamondbacks 2025 Projected Cards


Atlanta Braves 2025 Projected Cards

San Diego Padres 2025 Projected Cards

San Francisco Giants 2025 Projected Cards






Thursday, April 3, 2025

Ohtani, de la Cruz Late Heroics vs. Closers - Dodgers Win in 10th

If the rest of our 2025 Statis-Pro is exciting as our season opener this will be fun.

Nick Martinez started the game by keeping the action on his card "8" on a pb 2-8 card to record a strikeout on what would have been a homer for Shohei Ohtani against most pitchers (28 random number) and kept it close 2-0 into the 9th.  We track our results here.

But after Tyler Glasnow left with 7 innings of 2 hit ball, Elly De La Cruz singled a runner to 3rd with 2 outs  in the 9th inning, stole second base and then scored the game tying run to force extra innings and deny ace Tanner Scott the save.

(Post note: the Reds started with hope in the second game when Cruz led off with a homer. However it was all Dodgers after that in a 9-1 win. Back to the first game ...)

Reds ace reliever Alexis Díaz came in to get the first two outs in the top of the 10th, but at only an above-average PB 2-7, he left a pitch up to Ohtani who drilled a two run homer to give the Dodgers a 4-2 Opening Day win. 

Miguel Rojas appeared to give the Dodgers some breathing room with a DEEP drive in the 5th that usually goes out in Cincinnati's home games (see Deep 11'-68 = HR, Great American Ball Park CIN) in the header of their batters cards to see that 11-68 is a homer in Cincinnati while only a 71-88 is a deep fly caught for an out with runners advancing.

Instead the Dodgers has to build a 2-0 without a long ball, capped when Tommy Edman came in as a pinch runner in the 8th, stole second base, then scored on a double by Andy Pages to make it 2-0, before Cruz's heroics.

Many of the top relievers for both teams were used in this game, so by our league rules cannot be used in the 2nd game at the other place, in this case the much more forgiving pitchers park in Los Angeles (Deep 11'-35 = HR, Dodger Stadium), so a flyout on 36-88. The Dodgers seem to have a bigger edge in that game because each series we throw either the 1st and 4th best starter or the 2nd and 3rd, which in this case means the Reds have only the average (PB 4-7) lefty Andrew Abbott while even the Dodgers 4th best starter Roki Sasaki is an elite PB2-8 (top 15% of all pitchers including closers based on his WAR per 9 innings minus ERA.

If the Dodgers get going, the key for the Reds will be to not fall behind by 5 runs by the end of the 8th, since that would give the Dodgers a chance to claim a "sweep" of 3 games to 0 or a blowout win, whereas a closer game like this one is simply scored as a 2 games to 1 edge.

You can play your own free Statis-Pro game and any of our all time greatest 60 teams by clicking here, or you can use the 2025 projected batters and pitchers.







Statis-Pro Baseball - Part 3 - Batters

 Here are the Statis-Pro baseball batters for the 2025 projected season. Click here for all teams, the Dodgers are pictured below.





Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Statis-Pro Baseball - 2nd of 3 Parts - Ball Park Factors

 This week we finally calculated the projected 2025 Pitchers' cards. Before we complete the teams with the Projected batter cards, we need to use the ballpark factors.

Each batter has three DEEP numbers on their cards, and those determine if a deep drive is caught with all runners advancing for a "Sacfly" (technically not recorded as a Sac Fly unless a runner was on third and scored, but all advance) or goes out of the park for a homer. We need to calculate that before calculating the batters card because the batter will have more of their deep drives go out of the park at home, and thus we only want to Home Run range on their card to create the right chance of a homer knowing that about this many will go out of the park on deep drives.

Therefore during a game you only need to worry about the Deep HR range below from 11-88. The second number is just to let you know what was taken off a card when it was calculated. 

Abb     Team                                Park Name                           HR Range  Subtract HR fr Cards
ARIArizona DiamondbacksChase Field11'-471.5
ATHAthleticsSutter Health Park11'-481.5
ATLAtlanta BravesTruist Park11'-431.4
BALBaltimore OriolesOriole Park at Camden Yards11'-351.2
BOSBoston Red SoxFenway Park11'-681.9
CHCChicago CubsWrigley Field11'-261.1
CHWChicago White SoxRate Field11'-531.6
CINCincinnati RedsGreat American Ball Park11'-681.9
CLECleveland GuardiansProgressive Field11'-431.4
COLColorado RockiesCoors Field11'-882.7
DETDetroit TigersComerica Park11'-561.6
HOUHouston AstrosDaikin Park11'-481.5
KCRKansas City RoyalsKauffman Stadium11'-711.9
LAALos Angeles AngelsAngel Stadium11'-551.6
LADLos Angeles DodgersDodger Stadium11'-351.2
MIAMiami MarlinsloanDepot park11'-762
MILMilwaukee BrewersAmerican Family Field11'-431.4
MINMinnesota TwinsTarget Field11'-481.5
NYMNew York MetsCiti Field11'-301.1
NYYNew York YankeesYankee Stadium11'-461.5
PHIPhiladelphia PhilliesCitizens Bank Park11'-521.5
PITPittsburgh PiratesPNC Park11'-611.7
SDPSan Diego PadresPETCO Park11'-241
SEASeattle MarinersT-Mobile Park11'-140.8
SFGSan Francisco GiantsOracle Park11'-311.1
STLSt. Louis CardinalsBusch Stadium11'-461.5
TBRTampa Bay RaysGeorge M. Steinbrenner Field11'-481.5
TEXTexas RangersGlobe Life Field11'-541.6
TORToronto Blue JaysRogers Centre11'-431.4
WSNWashington NationalsNationals Park11'-511.5