Monday, August 7, 2023

Phillies - 1st of 2 Statis-Pro Underperformers face Rockies

 The Phillies are one of two teams playing much worse in Statis-Pro then the actual MLB season - making the Phillies 2-game series against the relegated Rockies crucial.

Update game 1 - it started bad for the Phillies as Bryce Harper was ejected in the first inning and the rest of the lineup didn't exactly take advantage of Coors Field. However Trea Turner scored two runs with a double and homer, and Nola and an upgraded Kimbrel and Alvarado combined for a 2-hitter and 3-1 win.

Luckily for them the first game is against a lefty in Austin Gomber against one if two PB 2-8snin Aaron Nola. The Phillies also have the most upgraded players with 3 upgraded relievers and a crucial new PB2-7 No. 3 starter, as well as upgraded platoon center fielders - either if which can also come in late for a fielding upgrade in left field.


Phillies just continue to not be as good in Statis-Pro this season (10th place) as opposed to actual MLB (5th place) after a 3 games to 3 split with the relegated Rockies. The Rockies won 9-4, though not a sweep, as upgraded Daniel Bard (ob 2-7 improved to 2-8).  The Phillies hit three drives that would have been homers in Colorado but were just deep fly outs in Philadelphia.




Game results to follow.

Friday, August 4, 2023

Statis-Pro Playoff Outlook with Rosters Set After Trade Deadline

 Despite home runs in both games by the newest Cubs star Candelario, the Diamondbacks won back-to-back thrilling games - 5-4 and 10-9, to break a tie for 5th place.

The following is a snapshot of our Statis-Pro season. As noted on the bottom, the Dodgers, Braves and Brewers clearly have the best cards in the game. The Marlins record is up there with them, but their remaining schedule is brutal so will almost certainly fall.

That leaves the Marlins likely fighting for one of the remaining three playoff spots with the Diamondbacks, Giants, Cubs, Reds and Phillies. 

The Mets appear to be toast with a touch schedule left and no Verlander or Scherzer, while the Padres have actually been even worst in Statis-Pro than in the actual disappointing season, but are one of five teams within three games of the Cubs for the last playoff spot after the Cubs losses to the Diamondbacks.


Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 

If you are playing the current 2023 season, you can use these optional adjustments for 149 players who were playing much better or worse than than their projected 2023 pitchers or 2023 batters in card form. 





Thursday, August 3, 2023

Cubs and DBacks Upgraded Cards as they Battle or Final Playoff Spot

The Cubs and Diamondbacks have virtually the same records in both real MLB and in our Statis-Pro season. In the real season, Arizona is 57-53 while Chicago is 56-53. In the Statis-Pro season the teams average slightly worst because they play the other 10 best teams twice each with four teams being relegated.

Again, the two are even with both teams 20-22 heading into a series against each other. Note: after initial post, DBacks held on for thrilling 5-4 win in the opener and break the tie for 5th. Cubs have a big pitching edge in the nightcap with Marcus Stroman vs the rookie Brandon Pfaadt.

Our last update showed the Statis-Pro cards that can either switched teams or due to playing a lot different than their projections can be upgraded or downgraded.

Cubs Adjustments

 
Cubs Changes                  Pos         Card Status          Card OPS/ER      ANow
Adbert AlzolayPupgrade3.602.33
Javier AssadPupgrade4.593.24
Cody BellingerCFupgrade0.7110.909
Jeimer Candelario3Bnew team0.7440.835
Michael FulmerPupgrade7.204.21
Brandon HughesPdowngrade3.887.24
Matt Mervis1Bdowngrade0.7600.531

The Cubs had one nice pickup in Jeimer Candelario, a good third baseman who was picked up from the Nationals to give a nice extra bat to the Cubs. He is hitting even better this season than last, but the card is not upgraded because the jump from 0.744 to 0.835 OPS is not big enough to actually change the card. The one downside for the Cubs offense is that 1st baseman Matt Mervis is downgraded for his OPS dropping from .760 to .531, so when he comes up the opposing pitcher's PB increases one (a PB 2-7 becomes a PB 2-8 when facing Mervis).



The Cubs had three pitchers upgraded because of much better ERAs so far this season and one who is downgraded. The biggest one is closer Adbert Alzolay who had a projected PB 2-7 card but will be a PB 2-8 in action in our season.



Arizona Adjustments

TeamPlayersPosCard StatusCard OPS/ERANow
Ari LostMadison BumgarnerPdowngrade4.9510.26
AriZach DaviesPdowngrade4.887.38
AriKyle NelsonPupgrade4.482.85
Ari (Fr Oak)Jace Peterson3Bnew OPS 0.6600.660 
Ari (Fr Nym)Tommy PhamLFupgrade0.6690.820
Ari LostJosh Rojas3Bnew team0.7210.577
Ari (Fr Chw)José RuizPnew team4.055.89



Arizona gets a little help with two pitchers, though they are still both below average PB 2-6 cards. Kyle Nelson improved his ERA from 4.48 down to 2.85, which by itself could be a PB 2-8 or even 2-9, but we only upgrade by one for big improvements, so he just improves to a PB 2-6 in a game.  Jose Ruiz came from the White Sox, but is also just a PB 2-6 though he does allow hits only up to a 21 and because he pitched in a hitters park he the note at the bottom of the card changes the top home run number on an opposing batter to a fly out. Madison Bumgarner also is gone after a terrible season, but we did not include his card below.


As for Arizona batters, one player is gone in Josh Rojas, so his card is not used. The big pickup was Tommy Pham, who not only came from the Mets but also has an upgrade so opposing pitchers' PB will drop one when they face Pham due to his actual OPS of .820 being much better than his .669 projection on which the card was based. Jac Peterson is a new card - and the Statis-Pro cards at the end give a basic card for each range of projected OPS ranges - from .651 to .700 in his case. He is on pace for more than 30 bases, which makes him a OBR/SP: B/B and plays third base. As a left handed hitter with fewer than three home run numbers he gets an LN, and lefties temporary cards have the average 12/88 - meaning strikeouts on 11-12 against a Left Handed Pitcher and singles with runners advancing two based on 88 against a Right Handed Pitcher.



The matchup to see who moves ahead as they both come in tied for 5th place and the last two playoff spots if the season ended today.






Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 

If you are playing the current 2023 season, you can use these optional adjustments for 149 players who were playing much better or worse than than their projected 2023 pitchers or 2023 batters in card form. 

149 Key MLB Players Updated by Team or Actual 2023 Performance

If you play any simulation of current MLB players, this is a checklist of 149 players who are on a different team than they were when we made the projected cards before the season, or who have dramatically exceeded or fallen short of the stats on which their projection is based. The are in alphabetical order by team and then by last name.

With the trade deadline passed, we updated all rosters in our Statis-Pro baseball game. In our game, an adjusted player changes the PB during every at bat by one in their favor if they are listed as "upgrade" or against them if they are listed as "downgrade" while other players have just been shifted onto or off a stack of player cards for that team. You can come up with your own adjustment for whatever game you play, but these are partial adjustments for players who are close to 2.00 off their projected ERA or 0.200 in OPS - so our adjustments just makes up some of the difference but does not come close to creating a new card.



Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 


Team                     Players                        Pos    Card Status          Card OPS/ERA   Current
Ari LostMadison BumgarnerPdowngrade4.9510.26
AriZach DaviesPdowngrade4.887.38
AriKyle NelsonPupgrade4.482.85
Ari (Fr Oak)Jace Peterson3Bnew OPS 0.6600.660 
Ari (Fr Nym)Tommy PhamLFupgrade0.6690.820
Ari LostJosh Rojas3Bnew team0.7210.577
Ari (Fr Chw)José RuizPnew team4.055.89
AtlEhire AdrianzaSSdowngrade0.6550.091
AtlNick AndersonPupgrade4.403.06
Atl (Fr Tbr)Yonny ChirinosPnew team4.154.34
AtlMax FriedPupgrade3.582.08
Atl (Fr Col)Pierce JohnsonPnew team4.675.62
Atl (Fr Fa)Kevin PillarLFnew team0.7350.721
BalKeegan AkinPdowngrade3.506.85
BalFélix BautistaPupgrade3.140.87
Bal (Was Oak)Shintaro FujinamiPdowngrade4.368.08
BalMychal GivensPdowngrade4.0611.25
BalDL HallPdowngrade3.136.00
Bal (Fr Nyy)Aaron HicksLFnew team0.6650.695
BalGrayson RodriguezPdowngrade3.826.21
Bos LostRyan BrasierPnew team4.084.50
Bos LostEnrique HernándezSSnew team0.7410.606
BosCorey KluberPdowngrade4.697.04
BosChris MartinPupgrade3.541.57
ChcAdbert AlzolayPupgrade3.602.33
ChcJavier AssadPupgrade4.593.24
Chc (Fr Was)Jeimer Candelario3Bnew team0.7440.835
ChcMichael FulmerPupgrade7.204.21
ChcBrandon HughesPdowngrade3.887.24
ChcMatt Mervis1Bdowngrade0.7600.531
ChwTim AndersonSSdowngrade0.7550.577
Chw LostLucas GiolitoPnew team4.153.85
Chw LostKendall GravemanPnew team3.723.40
Chw LostRandal GrichukCFnew team0.7610.869
Chw LostJoe KellyPnew team3.274.91
Chw LostReynaldo LópezPnew team3.714.00
Chw LostLance LynnPdowngrade3.936.32
Chw LostJake MarisnickRFnew team0.6230.688
ChwKeynan MiddletonPdowngrade1.653.96
Chw LostJosé RuizPnew team4.055.89
ChwLenyn Sosa2Bdowngrade0.6640.366
CinCurt CasaliCadowngrade0.7190.490
CinLuis CessaPdowngrade4.989.00
CinKevin HergetPdowngrade1.625.73
CinBen LivelyPdowngrade2.655.20
CinNick LodoloPdowngrade3.686.29
CinLuke MailePupgrade4.500.72
Cin (Fr Oak)Sam MollPnew team3.694.38
CinWil MyersRFdowngrade0.7940.541
CleXzavion CurryPupgrade4.632.90
CleOscar GonzalezRFdowngrade0.7310.513
CleSam HentgesPdowngrade3.266.35
CleTim HerrinPdowngrade3.815.55
Cle LostAmed RosarioSSnew team0.7100.679
Cle (Lad)Noah SyndergaardPnew team4.836.68
ColFernando AbadPnew PB 2-410.134.26
Col (Fr Tbr)Chase AndersonPdowngrade1.696.08
ColDaniel BardPupgrade4.232.87
ColTy BlachPupgrade8.184.22
Col (Fr Sea)Chris FlexenPdowngrade4.268.08
ColDinelson LametPdowngrade4.3411.57
Col LostMike Moustakas1Bnew team0.7450.765
Col (Fr Sf)Austin WynnsCanew team0.653 
Colo LostPierce JohnsonPnew team4.675.62
DetJavier BáezSSdowngrade0.7110.593
DetAustin MeadowsLFdowngrade0.8180.524
Fa (Fr Ari)Madison BumgarnerPdowngrade4.9510.26
Fa LostKevin PillarLFnew team0.7350.721
HouJosé Abreu1Bdowngrade0.8020.654
Hou (Fr Chw)Kendall GravemanPnew team3.723.40
Kcr LostAroldis ChapmanPnew team3.452.58
KcrMike MayersPdowngrade2.456.15
LaaJaime BarriaPdowngrade1.613.79
Laa (Col)C.J. Cron1Bnew team0.8090.772
LaaTucker DavidsonPdowngrade4.216.54
Laa (Fr Nym)Eduardo Escobar3Bnew team0.7090.651
LaaCarlos EstévezPnew pb 2-74.151.88
Laa (Fr Chw)Lucas GiolitoPnew team4.153.85
Laa (Fr Chw)Randal GrichukCFnew team0.7610.869
Laa (Fr Chw)Reynaldo LópezPnew team3.714.00
LaaMickey MoniakLFupgrade0.6710.915
Laa (Was Fa)Matt MoorePnew team3.991.93
Laa (Fr Col)Mike Moustakas1Bnew team0.7450.765
LaaJosé QuijadaPdowngrade3.816.00
LadAustin BarnesCadowngrade0.6990.334
Lad (Fr Bos)Ryan BrasierPnew team4.084.50
LadMichael GrovePdowngrade4.766.75
Lad (Fr Bos)Enrique HernándezSSnew team0.7410.606
Lad (Fr Chw)Joe KellyPnew team3.274.91
Lad (Fr Chw)Lance LynnPdowngrade3.936.32
Lad (Fr Chw)Jake MarisnickRFnew team0.6230.688
LadBobby MillerPdowngrade1.804.37
LadShelby MillerPupgrade4.402.40
MiaMatt BarnesPdowngrade3.945.48
Mia LostDylan FloroPnew team3.974.39
Mia (Fr Min)Jorge LópezPnew team3.604.86
MiaEury PérezPupgrade4.352.36
Mia (Fr Nym)David RobertsonPnew team3.622.54
MilWilly AdamesSSdowngrade0.7910.682
Mil (Fr Nym)Mark CanhaLFnew team0.7500.719
MilHoby MilnerPupgrade3.882.30
MilJoel PayampsPupgrade4.121.97
Mil (Fr Sf)Darin Ruf1Bnew team0.7230.531
Mil (Fr Pit)Carlos Santana1Bnew team0.7380.725
MilDevin WilliamsPupgrade3.121.52
MinJorge AlcalaPdowngrade3.776.46
Min (Fr Mia)Dylan FloroPnew team3.974.39
MinNick GordonCFdowngrade0.7180.503
MinBrent HeadrickPdowngrade3.245.40
Min LostJorge LópezPnew team3.604.86
MinMatt WallnerRFupgrade0.6940.915
Nym LostMark CanhaLFnew team0.7500.719
NymCarlos CarrascoPdowngrade3.946.40
Nym LostEduardo Escobar3Bnew team0.7090.651
Nym (Fr Sea)Trevor GottPnew team3.914.62
NymTylor MegillPdowngrade3.535.17
NymZach MuckenhirnPdowngrade2.456.00
NymTomás NidoCadowngrade0.5800.278
NymDavid PetersonPdowngrade3.135.92
Nym LostTommy PhamLFupgrade0.6690.820
Nym LostDavid RobertsonPnew team3.622.54
Nym LostGary SánchezCanew team 0.733
Nyy LostAaron HicksLFnew team0.6650.695
NyyWandy PeraltaPupgrade3.642.29
OakDomingo AcevedoPdowngrade4.0010.61
OakGarrett ActonPdowngrade1.9312.71
OakNick AllenSSdowngrade0.6040.451
OakLucas ErcegPdowngrade2.255.34
Oak LostRico GarciaPnew team15.009.26
OakHogan HarrisPdowngrade3.806.07
Oak LostSam MollPnew team3.694.38
OakKyle MullerPdowngrade3.847.79
OakAdam OllerPdowngrade4.5010.07
Oak LostCristian PacheLFupgrade0.6010.957
Oak New LostJace Peterson3Bnew OPS 0.6600.660 
Oak LostCal StevensonCFnew team0.6360.250
OakKen WaldichukPdowngrade3.876.52
PhiJosé AlvaradoPupgrade2.851.38
PhiBrandon MarshCFupgrade0.6450.813
PhiYunior MartePupgrade11.254.99
Phi (Fr Oak)Cristian PacheLFupgrade0.6010.957
PhiCristopher SánchezPupgrade6.232.66
PitMiguel AndujarRFdowngrade0.7080.599
PitCody BoltonPdowngrade4.509.90
PitRoansy ContrerasPdowngrade4.316.59
PitChase De JongPdowngrade4.5613.50
PitChris OwingsSSdowngrade0.6160.320
PitYohan RamirezPdowngrade1.504.25
Pit LostCarlos Santana1Bnew team0.7380.725
Pit LostRobert StephensonPnew team4.123.78
SdpNabil CrismattPdowngrade3.989.82
SdpReiss KnehrPdowngrade4.1615.88
Sdp (Fr Nym)Gary SánchezCanew team 0.733
SeaDiego CastilloPdowngrade3.536.23
Sea LostChris FlexenPdowngrade4.268.08
Sea LostTrevor GottPnew team3.914.62
SeaCooper HummelLFdowngrade0.6660.323
SeaTom MurphyCaupgrade0.7050.900
Sea (Fr Sf)AJ PollockLFnew team 0.535
Sea (Fr Ari)Josh Rojas3Bnew team0.7210.577
Sea (Fr Cle)Amed RosarioSSnew team0.7100.679
SeaKolten Wong2Bdowngrade0.7170.468
Sf LostAJ PollockLFnew team 0.535
Sf LostDarin Ruf1Bnew team0.7230.531
Sf LostAustin WynnsCanew team0.653 
Sfg (Fr Oak)Cal StevensonCFnew team0.6360.250
Stl LostJordan HicksPnew team3.214.01
StlMatthew LiberatorePdowngrade4.206.75
Tbr LostChase AndersonPdowngrade1.696.08
TbrJalen BeeksPdowngrade3.236.27
Tbr (At Stl)Génesis CabreraPnew team4.074.97
Tbr LostYonny ChirinosPnew team4.154.34
Tbr (Was Cws)Jake DiekmanPupgrade7.944.32
Tbr (Was Mil)Javy GuerraPnew team4.284.09
Tbr (Fr Was)Erasmo RamírezPnew team4.315.70
Tbr (Fr Pit)Robert StephensonPnew team4.123.78
Tex (Fr Kcr)Aroldis ChapmanPnew team3.452.58
TexTaylor HearnPdowngrade3.8214.73
TexJonathan HernándezPdowngrade3.846.65
TexTravis JankowskiLFupgrade0.5970.785
TorAdam CimberPdowngrade4.247.40
Tor (Fr Stl)Jordan HicksPnew team3.214.01
TorJordan LuplowRFdowngrade0.7580.567
TorAlek ManoahPdowngrade4.145.87
Was LostJeimer Candelario3Bnew team0.7440.835
Was (Fr Oak)Rico GarciaPnew team15.009.26
Was LostErasmo RamírezPnew team4.315.70
WasCory Abbott3upgrade 5.40
WasRiley AdamsCaupgrade0.6810.919
WasChad KuhlPdowngrade4.918.45

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Padres Continue to be Even Worse in NL with Split Against Giants

Perhaps the most amazing thing about our Statis-Pro season is that as disappointing as the San Diego Padres have been in the real MLB season, they have been worse in our Statis-Pro season at 19-29 and 11th of 11 teams not counting the four relegated teams. They just split a series with the Giants, and the box score for that is below, and they will hope to make up some ground in a series against the relegated Nationals, but have a long way to go. Josh Hader strikeout all three and walked one in a save, meaning no one put the ball in play.

While the Dodgers have been the best team, one note of interest is that the four top teams so far also have the toughest schedules remaining with no relegated teams left to play, while the other seven teams chasing them all have one matchup against a relegated team, giving them a chance to make up ground. Here are the standings.

 
Statis-Pro Teams                            Wins   Losses   Rel opp    Statis-Pro
Los Angeles Dodgers      3414 0.708
Milwaukee Brewers        2715 0.643
Miami Marlins2418 0.571
Atlanta Braves  2721 0.563
Arizona Diamondbacks 2022col0.476
Chicago Cubs2022Pit0.476
New York Mets 2226was0.458
San Francisco Giants1620was0.444
Cincinnati Reds2127col0.438
Philadelphia Phillies        1725col0.405
San Diego Padres             1929was0.396
Relegated - Pit,StL,Col,Was4149 0.456
Totals288288 0.500

And here is the Giants vs. Padres Lines Score from our August 1 home-and-home.
 
Game 1                             123      456      789       RHE
San Diego Padres1200030107160
San Francisco Giants003200210861
             
Game 2123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000040000490
San Diego Padres000000100140

Here is the box score from those games.

 
Padres Batters                       Pos     AB   R     H       RBI         Notes
Fernando Tatis Jr.LF8255SB, HR
Juan SotoRF9130 
Manny Machado3B90202B
Xander BogaertsSS7000 
Jake Cronenworth2B9000 
Matt Carpenter1B7331HR
Nelson CruzDH7230 
Austin NolaC7010 
Trent GrishamCF8133HR
Padres .281 Batting 719209 
       
Padres Game 1 PitchersIPHRERBB - KNotes
Blake Snell3.7 55  
Steven Wilson1.3 00  
Tim Hill1 00  
Nick Martinez1 22  
Michael Wacha1 11 Loss
Luis García1 00  
Padres Game 2 PitchersIPHRERBB - KNotes
Joe Musgrove7 11 Win
Brent Honeywell1 00 Hold
Josh Hader1 001' - 3Save
Padres 4.50 ERA18 99  
       
Giants BattersPosABRHRBINotes
Thairo Estrada2B7100SB
Joc PedersonLF9232HR
David Villar3B50102B
Mitch HanigerCF4210 
Jose RojasRF0000 
Mike YastrzemskiCF7123HR, 2B
SabelC41102b
Donovan Walton2B7000 
SchmidtSS8041SB, 2B
LaMonte Wade Jr.1B4000 
J.D. Davis3B4000 
Michael ConfortoRF3000 
Ruf1B5233HR
Giants .224 Batting  679159 
       
Giants Game 1 PitchersIPHRERBB - KNotes
Alex Cobb5 33  
Cole Waites0.7 33  
Scott Alexander1.3 00 Win
Camilo Doval0.7 11  
Taylor Rogers1.3 00 Save
Giants Game 2 PitchersIPHRERBB - KNotes
Alex Wood4.3 33 Loss
Hjelle2.7 11  
Tyler Rogers1 00  
Jakob Junis1 00  
Padres 5.50 ERA18 1111 

Click for the free Statis-Pro Master Baseball Game. Click here for 60 of the all-time great MLB teams, or on teams of many of the all-time great players on teams by nation or state with one sheet for each team. Or click on the 2023 pitchers and 2023 batters in card form. You simply print two teams cards and then either print theaster link above and fast action cards in master link or buy the dice to start playing. 

If you are playing the current 2023 season, you can use these optional adjustments for 149 players who were playing much better or worse than than their projected 2023 pitchers or 2023 batters in card form.